Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 5/9/25

At 10:00 ET, the Thunder (-219) will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets (+183) in a Northwest divisional matchup. Oklahoma City is 68-14 on the season and is currently favored by 5.5 points over the 50-32 Nuggets.
This game will be played at Ball Arena and can be seen on ESPN.
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5
This game will be played at Ball Arena at 10:00 ET on Friday, May 9th.
WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 153-140 in favor of the Thunder.
- Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 32 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.9% and knocking down 18 threes.
Is A Road Victory Likely for the Favored Thunder?
The Thunder improved to 68-14 this season with a dominant 149-106 win over the Nuggets on Wednesday. Playing at home, Oklahoma City entered the game as 10-point favorites and easily covered the spread. The total points for the game reached 255, surpassing the pre-game O/U line of 230 by 25 points.
Oklahoma City set the tone early, jumping out to a 45-21 lead in the 1st quarter, including a 10-0 run. They continued to pour it on, outscoring Denver 42-35 in the 2nd quarter and 37-20 in the 3rd. With a 124-76 lead going into the 4th, the Thunder eased off, allowing the Nuggets to win the final quarter 30-25.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 34-point performance on 84.6% shooting led the Thunder to a 149-point outburst in their win over the Nuggets, with 16 of those points coming in the 3rd quarter. Oklahoma City shot 56.2% from the field and connected on 16 threes at a 44.4% rate.
Jalen Williams added 17 points, while Chet Holmgren contributed 15 points and 11 rebounds, hitting 2 threes at 66.7%. Isaiah Joe also chipped in 14 points, with 8 of those coming in the 4th quarter.
Defensively, the Thunder were strong in the 1st and 3rd quarters, allowing just 21 and 20 points, respectively, as they held the Nuggets to 106 points on 37% shooting. Oklahoma City gave up 35 points in the 2nd quarter and 30 in the 4th.
From beyond the arc, the Thunder allowed Denver to hit 15 threes at a 40% clip. The Nuggets also went to the line 32 times, making 25 free throws. Oklahoma City finished with 12 steals and 8 blocks.
Can the Nuggets Please their Home Crowd?
The Nuggets fell to 50-32 on the season after a 149-106 road loss to the Thunder on Wednesday. Denver entered the game as +10 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread, losing by 43 points. The total score of 255 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 230 by 25 points.
Oklahoma City jumped out to a 45-21 lead after the 1st quarter, including a 10-0 run early on. Denver improved slightly in the 2nd quarter, but the Thunder extended their lead to 124-76 by the end of the 3rd. The Nuggets outscored the Thunder 30-25 in the 4th quarter.
In their 149-106 loss to the Thunder, the Nuggets shot just 37.9% from the field, though they connected on 15 threes at a 40.5% rate. Russell Westbrook led Denver with 19 points, adding 7 in the 1st quarter and 8 more in the 2nd.
Nikola Jokić contributed 17 points, with 11 coming in the 2nd quarter, while Jamal Murray finished with 14 points, hitting 3 threes at 60%. Jokić also made 2 threes, shooting 50% from deep.
The Nuggets struggled defensively on Wednesday, giving up 149 points to the Thunder. Denver allowed 45 points in the 1st quarter and 42 in the 2nd, with Oklahoma City shooting 56% from the field.
The Thunder also hit 16 threes at a 44% clip. Denver sent them to the line 36 times, where they made 33 free throws. The Nuggets finished with 4 steals and 6 blocks.