Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 5/11/24

At 9:40 PM from T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an American League matchup between the Athletics and Mariners. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Athletics are 18-22, while the Mariners come in at 21-18. Oakland is currently in third place in the AL West, and the Mariners are favored at -237.

The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Joey Estes for the Athletics and Bryce Miller for the Mariners. You can catch this one on TV on RSNW.

OAKLAND ATHLETICS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs

This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Saturday, May 11th.

HOW TO BET THE ATHLETICS VS MARINERS:

• We have the Mariners winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Athletics to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Seattle cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Athletics in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the A’s, they scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -159 on the money line.

Bryan Woo only went 4 1/3 innings for the Mariners but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed one hit. On the other side, Paul Blackburn was tagged for seven runs in four innings of work for the A’s.

Dylan Moore hit the game’s only home run while going 3/4 with five RBIs and two runs scored. Ty France also had a two-hit game for Seattle and drove in two runs.

Athletics Records & Stats

With an overall record of 18-22, the Athletics are 4.0 games behind the Rangers for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone just 3-5 in divisional matchups. Oakland is on a two-game losing streak, dropping the series opener vs. the Mariners and have lost two straight as the underdog. As the road underdog this year, the Athletics are 8-9.

This season, the Athletics have been good as the favorite, going 4-1, but they are just 14-21 as the underdog. Oakland’s overall series record is 6-5-1, and they have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games.

The Athletics have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 22-18 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 10-7 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 20-15 against the run line compared to just 2-3 as the favorite.

With a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game, the Oakland Athletics have seen their games go over the 7.5 run over/under line in 5 of 14 games this season when the line has been set at 7.5 runs. Overall, the Athletics have gone over the total in 19 of their 39 games this season, and they are currently on a 4-game over streak.

Joey Estes is coming off a season in which he made two starts and two appearances overall. His record for the year was 0-1, and his ERA was 7.20. Estes’ WHIP for the season was 1.40, and he allowed a batting average of .267. His slugging percentage allowed was .600, and he gave up four home runs for the year. Estes’ strikeouts per nine innings was 6.3, and his walks per nine innings was 1.8.

As a team, the Athletics are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. However, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .221 and have the league’s 25th ranked strikeout rate. One area where they have been strong is in the power department, as they are 4th in home runs and have a collective ISO of .166.

Over his last four games, Shea Langeliers has gone 6/16 with two home runs and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .212, but his nine homers is tied for the team lead. Langeliers and Brent Rooker are both on a good stretch of games, with Rooker currently on a four-game hitting streak and Langeliers on a three-game streak. Rooker’s 24 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 10th in the league.

Mariners Records & Stats

Seattle is 21-18 overall and trails the Rangers by just a half-game in the AL West. So far, they have been good against other teams in the AL West, putting up a record of 5-2. The Mariners are at home today, where they are 12-8 this year.

As the home favorite, the Mariners have gone 8-6 and 12-9 overall as the favorite. They are just under .500 at 9-10 on the road. Seattle won the first game of this series vs. the Athletics and are 6-5-1 in series so far this year.

The Mariners have been a solid run line bet this season, going 19-20 overall. They are 10-10 vs. the run line at home, where they have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game. In their wins, they have outscored their opponents by an average of 3.3 runs per game, while in their losses, they have been outscored by an average of 3.4 runs per game.

The Mariners have had 18 games this season with over/under lines higher than today’s 7.5, and those games have gone over the total 12 times. Their games have averaged 7.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 12-25 on the year. The Mariners have hit the over in four straight games, including their last game against the Athletics, which had a combined 9 runs.

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Athletics. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Astros, where he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a homer. Overall, Miller has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 2.61. Opposing batters are hitting .169 off Miller this season. Looking back at his last four outings, Miller has finished with a no-decision in each one.

Cal Raleigh has been a key power source for the Mariners this season, as his nine homers are 4th in the league and leads the team. However, he has not hit the ball well of late, going just 5/30 in his last nine games. Julio Rodriguez is batting .253 for the season and has one home run. Mitch Haniger and Jorge Polanco are tied for 2nd on the team with five homers, but both are hitting below .215.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts. Overall, the Mariners are batting just .225, which is 20th in the league. As a team, they are 9th in home runs and have a collective isolated power of .139.