Northern Iowa Panthers vs Toledo Rockets Betting Pick & Prediction 12/9/23

Looking to win big? The Panthers and Rockets face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Rockets are hosting the game at Savage Arena in Toledo, OH. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 153 points, and the Rockets are favored to win at home vs. the Panthers.
NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS VS TOLEDO ROCKETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toledo Rockets -3.5
This game will be played at Savage Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, December 9th.
WHY BET THE TOLEDO ROCKETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Rockets.
- Not only will Toledo pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 153 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Can the Panthers Offense Score Enough on the Road?
Northern Iowa comes into today’s game against Toledo with a 3-6 overall record. In their previous games, Northern Iowa has gone 1-4 on the road and 0-2 at home. Entering today’s game, Northern Iowa has a 2-5 record against the spread. In their last five games, they are 3-2 when it comes to covering the spread.
So far, Northern Iowa’s games have averaged 152.1 points per game with the average over/under line being 143.6 points. The Panthers’ last five games have culminated with an average of 151 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.
Northern Iowa’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 89 points against Evansville. They had an overall field goal percentage of 50% and made 15/21 free throws. Leading Northern Iowa in scoring vs. Evansville was Tytan Anderson with his 20 points. Nate Heise also added 19 points for the Panthers.
The Panthers’ defense is presently ranked 193rd nationally, allowing an average of 75.0 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Evansville, the Aces finished with a field goal percentage of 54% and a total of 91 points vs. Northern Iowa.
Can Toledo Secure a Home Victory?
Heading into today’s game, Toledo has a 4-4 record overall. In their previous ten home games, including last year, Toledo has a 6-4 record at home. Toledo has a winning record against the spread, sitting at 5-3. However, in their last five games, they are 2-3 ATS.
Up to this point, games involving Toledo have had an average of 156 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 156.3 points. Their over/under record is 4-4-0. The Rockets’ last five games have finished with a combined 154 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.
In their recent matchup, the Toledo offense ended with 77 points against George Mason. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 42.9% and made 5 threes. In terms of offense, the Rockets have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 71st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 82nd in percentage and 301st in three-pointers made.
Facing Northern Iowa, Toledo aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 78.0 points allowed per game (225th). So far, the Toledo defense is giving up an average of 8.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.4 times per game (390th).