Alabama Crimson Tide vs Purdue Boilermakers Betting Pick & Prediction 12/9/23

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Crimson Tide versus the Boilermakers? Tip off is at at 1:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on FOX. The game will be played at Coca-Cola Coliseum in Toronto, ON. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 160.5 points, with the Boilermakers being the favored team playing at home against the Crimson Tide.
ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Purdue Boilermakers -6
This game will be played at Coca-Cola Coliseum at 1:30 ET on Saturday, December 9th.
WHY BET THE PURDUE BOILERMAKERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-66 in favor of the Boilermakers.
- Not only will Purdue pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 160.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Do the Crimson Tide Stand a Chance in Toronto?
Heading into today’s game, Alabama has a 6-2 record after their loss to Clemson (85-77). In their last five road games, including those from last year, the Crimson Tide went 2-3. Alabama has a positive ATS record of 4-3. However, when examining their performance in the last five games, they have gone 1-4 vs. the spread.
Alabama’s games have, on average, featured 171.1 points per game leading to an over/under record of 6-1-0. Their average over/under line is currently 155.3 points so far. The Crimson Tide’s have recorded an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 168 points per game.
In contrast to their season average of 94.1 points per game, the Alabama had a below average performance. They scored 77 points against Clemson and had a field goal percentage of 34.3%. For the season, the Alabama offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 50%. So far, they have hit 56% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 10.6 made three’s per contest.
Coming into today’s game, the Alabama defense is giving up an average of 74.9 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Purdue, the Alabama defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Alabama made 20 free-throws vs. the Crimson Tide.
Can the Boilermakers Lock in a Home Win?
As they approach their 10th game of the season, Purdue currently holds a record of 8-1. In their last ten home games, which includes games from last year, Purdue has a 9-1 record at home. As of today’s game, Purdue has a 4-2-2 record against the spread. In their last five games, the team is 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
After nine games, Purdue has an over/under record of 6-2-0, with their games averaging a combined 151.8 points per game so far. When assessing the Boilermakers’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 2-1, with their games averaging 166 points per game.
In their previous game, the Boilermakers’ offense finished with 88 points, which is right in line with their current average of 84.9 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Zach Edey, who holds an average of 23.7 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Braden Smith is averaging 11.7 points per game this season.
In the current season, the Purdue defense has excelled, sitting 80th in the nation by allowing 67.2 points per game. In today’s game vs. Alabama, the Purdue defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Purdue made 20 free-throws vs. the Boilermakers.