Northern Illinois Huskies vs Western Michigan Broncos Betting Pick & Prediction 11/6/24

At 7:00 ET, this Wednesday, November 6th, the Western Michigan Broncos will host the Northern Illinois Huskies at Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo. The Huskies are coming in with a 4-4 record, while the Broncos are 5-3 this season. The over/under line is currently at 52.5 points for this matchup. ESPN2 is televising the game, and the Huskies are the slight -1.5-point road favorite.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES VS WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Northern Illinois Huskies -1.5
This game will be played at Waldo Stadium at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, November 6th.
WHY BET THE NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES:
- We have the Northern Illinois Huskies winning this one by a score of 26 to 20
- Not only do we have the Northern Illinois Huskies winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 52.5 points
Will The Northern Illinois Huskies Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Northern Illinois enters Week 11 with a 4-4 record, sitting 90th in our power rankings. They have an 88.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.1% chance of winning the Mid-American. The Huskies are 2-2 on the road and 1-1 at home this season.
Their ATS record is 3-2-1, with a 3-1 mark on the road. As the favorite, they are 0-2-1 against the spread, but they’ve gone 3-0 ATS as the underdog. Northern Illinois has an average scoring margin of +5.8 points per game.
This week’s over/under line is 52.5, higher than their season average line of 45. They’ve gone 2-4 against the over/under, with their games averaging 41 points per contest.
Northern Illinois has leaned on their rushing attack this season, ranking 17th in rushing attempts per game and averaging 207 yards on the ground, placing them 30th nationally. Antario Brown leads the team with 516 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Overall, the Huskies are scoring 23.4 points per game, and they are 108th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.
Ethan Hampton, the team’s quarterback, has thrown for 1,100 yards with nine touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 84. Northern Illinois ranks 106th in passing yards per game. On third downs, they have converted 43.9% of their attempts, which ranks 36th nationally.
Despite their recent 25-23 loss to Ball State, Northern Illinois’ defense has been strong this season, ranking 12th nationally by allowing just 17.6 points per game. In the game, they gave up 25 points, including two passing touchdowns, while allowing 392 total yards, with 170 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 222 yards through the air.
Opponents have averaged 111.9 rushing yards per game against Northern Illinois, ranking them 28th in the nation. The defense has faced the 28th fewest pass attempts nationally, allowing just 164.6 passing yards per game, which ranks 15th, and a completion rate of 56.7%.
Will The Western Michigan Broncos Win At Home Over The Northern Illinois Huskies?
Western Michigan enters Week 11 with a 5-3 record, ranked 105th in our power rankings. They have a 92.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 2-0, while their road record stands at 2-3.
The Broncos are 4-3 against the spread this season, with a 2-0 mark at home. They’ve been favored in three games, going 2-1 ATS as the favorite.
Their over/under record is 5-2, with an average line of 54.5 points. Western Michigan games have averaged 67.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 52.5 points.
Western Michigan’s offense is averaging 34 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 25th in the nation. They rank 38th in our offensive power rankings. The Broncos have a strong rushing attack, averaging 212.4 yards per game on the ground.
Jaden Nixon leads the team with 752 rushing yards, 10 touchdowns, and an impressive 7 yards per carry. Quarterback Hayden Wolff has thrown for 1,586 yards with 15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 115.
Western Michigan’s defense allowed just 21 points in their recent 52-21 win over Kent State, giving up 250 total yards. They held Kent State to 136 rushing yards on 39 attempts and 114 passing yards, while forcing two interceptions.
On average, Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 33.8 points per game this season. They rank 124th in the nation against the run, giving up 174.1 rushing yards per game, and 257.5 passing yards per game, ranking 141st.