Northern Illinois Huskies vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24
ESPN+ will be covering the week seven matchup between the Northern Illinois Huskies and Bowling Green Falcons, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green. The Falcons are the -3 point spread favorites at home, with the over/under line currently at 47.5 points. Both teams enter the game with a 2-3 record for the season.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES VS BOWLING GREEN FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Bowling Green Falcons -3
This game will be played at Doyt L. Perry Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 12th.
WHY BET THE BOWLING GREEN FALCONS:
- We have the Bowling Green Falcons winning this one by a score of 30 to 24
- Not only do we have the Bowling Green Falcons winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3
- Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points
Will The Northern Illinois Huskies Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Northern Illinois enters Week 7 against Bowling Green with a 3-2 record, ranked 89th in our power rankings. Despite their current standing, they have a 93.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 1-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.
The Huskies have a +9 average scoring margin and are 2-0-1 against the spread. They’ve covered both road games and pushed as the favorite at home. Northern Illinois has been favored in just one game this season.
The over/under line for this week is 47.5 points, compared to their average line of 44.6 points. Their over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 47.4 points per contest.
Heading into week 7, Northern Illinois ranks 53rd in points per game, averaging 28.2, and they are 82nd in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing game is their strength, with 44.6 attempts per game, ranking 17th nationally, and they are 21st in rushing yards, averaging 232 per game.
Antario Brown leads the team with 401 rushing yards, averaging 4 yards per carry, and has scored two touchdowns. Quarterback Ethan Hampton has thrown for 913 yards with eight touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 90.
Heading into their matchup against Bowling Green, Northern Illinois’ defense ranks 25th nationally, allowing just 19.2 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 95.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st in the country. Opponents have averaged 169 passing yards per game against them, completing 59% of their throws.
In their recent game against UMass, Northern Illinois allowed 20 points but held the Minutemen to 115 rushing yards on 34 attempts. UMass threw for 263 yards on 15 completions, but Northern Illinois’ defense didn’t force any interceptions in the game.
Will The Bowling Green Falcons Win At Home Over The Northern Illinois Huskies?
Bowling Green enters Week 7 with a 2-3 record and ranks 86th in our CFB power rankings. Despite their sub-.500 record, they have a 23.1% chance of winning the Mid-American and an 86.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.
The Falcons have gone 1-1 as the favorite and 0-2 as the underdog, with an average scoring margin of +3 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 2-2, going 0-2 as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog.
This week’s over/under line is set at 47.5 points. Bowling Green’s games have averaged 53.8 points, with their average O/U line at 50.4 points. They are 2-2 against the over/under this season.
Bowling Green’s offense ranks 42nd in our CFB offensive power rankings heading into week 7. They are averaging 28.4 points per game, placing them 52nd nationally. The Falcons have leaned on their passing game, ranking 26th in completions, with 22.4 per game, and 37th in attempts, averaging 33.2 per game. They are converting 46.2% of their third-down attempts.
Connor Bazelak leads the passing attack with 1,243 yards and a 68.1% completion rate. He has thrown five touchdowns and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 90. Bowling Green is averaging 249 passing yards per game. On the ground, they are averaging 147 rushing yards per game. Terion Stewart leads the rushing attack with 270 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.
Bowling Green’s defense is allowing 25.4 points per game this season, including 20 points in their recent win over Akron. They gave up 322 total yards, with 206 passing yards and 116 rushing yards on 21 attempts.
Opponents are averaging 192.6 rushing yards per game against Bowling Green, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of 99.6, completing 58.2% of their passes for an average of 189.2 yards per game.