New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 6/27/24

Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees on Thursday, as they are facing the Blue Jays, who are 5th in the AL East with a record of 36-43. Toronto will be looking to take advantage of a Yankees club that has lost three straight and they are +118 on the money line. The money line odds have the Yankees as the favorite at -138, and this game’s over/under line is at 8 runs.

First pitch from the Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 PM ET, and SNET will be televising this AL East matchup. The Yankees are 52-30 this season, and Carlos Rodon will be on the mound for them. The Blue Jays are starting Jose Berrios.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +118

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Thursday, June 27th.

HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 12-2 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Mets scored three times in the third.

Luis Gil got the start for the Yankees and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs on four hits. Aaron Judge was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Yankees lost the final game of their series vs. the Mets and have dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Blue Jays. Currently, they lead the AL East by one game with a record of 52-30, which includes a mark of 10-12 in divisional games.

At home, the Yankees have gone 24-14 this year, and they have been really good on the road, going 28-16. As the favorite, the Yankees are 40-24 this year and 12-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-6-2, but they have dropped four straight series.

When the Yankees are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, going 26-18, and their average run margin is 1.5. They have covered the run line in 14 of 18 games as an underdog, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.8.

The Yankees are on the road tonight against the Blue Jays. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Yankees this season is 41-39, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 5-8. The over has hit in 64.6% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.

Carlos Rodón will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Braves, as he gets the start for the Yankees today. In that start, he took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up seven earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodón has made 16 appearances and 10 of them have been quality starts. Rodón’s ERA for the season is 3.86, along with a record of 9-4. For the year, he has given up 14 homers and is averaging 8.53 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he faced the Blue Jays, he gave up three homers.

For the season, the Yankees are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York’s offense has been one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, as they are 2nd in homers and have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league.

Not only do the Yankees have the league’s top home run hitter in Aaron Judge, but he is also leading the league in RBIs and comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Over his last five games, Judge has gone 6/17 with three homers and 10 RBIs. Juan Soto is also having a big season for the Yankees, as he is 6th in the league with 19 homers and is batting .303.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 9-4 win. After a seven-run 3rd inning, the Blue Jays really turned things on, and the Red Sox could only score two runs, both of which came in the 2nd.

Kevin Gausman put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. Toronto’s offense was carried by George Springer, who went 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 14.5 games. Overall, they are 36-43 as they get set to host the Yankees today. The Blue Jays are 3-7 across their last ten games and dropped the final game of their series vs. the Red Sox.

At home, the Blue Jays are 18-19 compared to 18-24 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 7-23. As for their record as the favorite, they are 29-20. Toronto has yet to win a game as the home underdog this year, as they are 0-6. Currently, their overall series record is 8-12-5.

When the Blue Jays are at home, they are 13-24 against the run line, with an average run margin of -0.9. They have been the underdog in 30 of those games, going 14-16. They are 23-26 against the run line as the favorite.

When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over has hit in 35 of their 76 games, which is a 46.1% rate. The over has hit in 11 of their 22 games when the over/under line was set at 8, and the over has hit in 33 of their 57 games when the line was set above 8. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 35-41 overall. The over has hit in three straight Blue Jays games.

José Berríos will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Guardians, as he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. In that start, he gave up three walks and one home run. Berríos took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had picked up the win in back-to-back starts. One of those wins was a complete game. Berríos’ ERA for the season is 3.43, along with a record of 6-6. At home, he is 4-1 with a 2.48 ERA compared to 2-5 with a 5.18 ERA on the road.

So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Blue Jays are batting just .233, and their team slugging percentage of .369 is also near the bottom of the league. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak and has gone 9/22 in his last five games, including three home runs. For the season, he is batting .288 with a team-high 40 RBIs and 10 homers. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting below .230 for the season.