New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/9/24
The Yankees and Rays face off in an AL East matchup at 6:50 PM ET at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. New York is 55-37 this season, while the Rays are 44-46. Carlos Rodon is starting for the Yankees, while Ryan Pepiot is on the mound for the Rays.
New York is currently the favorite on the money line, with oddsmakers listing them at -127 compared to the Rays at +107. The over/under line is sitting at 8 runs, and the game will be televised on YES. Tampa Bay is looking to snap a three-game losing streak, while the Yankees are in 2nd place in the AL East.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -127
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Tuesday, July 9th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS RAYS:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Yankees Records & Stats
Led by a big game by Luis Gil at the plate, the Yankees are coming off a game in which they didn’t score a run. Gil went 4 for 4 with a run scored and a stolen base. The Yankees were the -129 favorite at home going into the game but fell to the Red Sox 3-0.
Luis Gil also started for the Yankees, going 6 2/3 innings, and took the loss. He pitched well, giving up just one run on four hits and striking out nine. However, the Yankees’ offense didnjson’t score a run, so he took the loss.
The Yankees come into today’s road matchup vs. the Rays with a record of 55-37, which has them 2nd in the AL East, three games behind the Orioles for the division lead. New York’s overall record is solid, but they are just below .500 in the AL East with a mark of 13-16. The Yankees closed the series vs. the Red Sox with a 2-1 loss and are just 3-7 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Yankees have gone 25-19 this season while going 30-18 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 43-31 and 12-6 as the underdog. The Yankees’ overall series record is 16-9-3, but they have dropped two straight series.
The Yankees have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 28-20. They have an average run margin of 1.4 on the road, compared to 0.7 at home. As the favorite, they are just 35-39 vs. the run line, but as the underdog, they are 14-4.
When the New York Yankees are on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8 runs per game. However, the over has hit in 48 of their 89 games this season, and when the line is set at 8 runs, the over has gone 7-8-1.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Reds, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up three earned runs on two homers in 5 1/3 innings of work. Rodón has actually lost each of his last four starts and has allowed at least two homers in three of those outings. His record for the season is 9-6, and his ERA is 4.46. Out of his 18 starts, Rodón has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.09 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 18 homers and is walking just 2.55 batters per nine innings.
As a team, the Yankees are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. New York’s offense has been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams this season, as they are 2nd in the league in homers. The Yankees are also the most patient team in the league, as they lead the MLB in walks.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the best power hitters in the league this season, as Judge leads the MLB with 32 homers, and Soto is 6th in the league with 21 homers. Judge is also 1st in the league with 83 RBIs, and Soto is 7th with 63 RBIs. Over the team’s last five games, Ben Rice has four homers and eight RBIs, while Alex Verdugo has gone 6/21.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 13-2 loss. Tampa Bay was the +113 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rays, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored three times in the bottom of the first.
Zack Littell had a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on nine hits and issuing three walks. The Rays also wasted a big game from José Caballero, who homered in the 1st inning but went just 1/3.
Tampa Bay is 44-46 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East, and they trail the Orioles by 13 games for the division lead. The Rays head into today’s game having dropped three straight games, and they were swept by the Rangers in their most recent series. So far, they are just 10-17 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Rays are 23-25 this season compared to a 21-21 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 18-22 this season, which includes having lost two straight as the underdog overall. Tampa Bay is 26-24 when favored this season, and their overall series record is 15-11-2.
The Rays are 41-49 against the run line this season, including a 16-32 mark at home. They have been outscored by an average of 0.7 runs per game overall and 0.8 runs per game at home. They are 25-17 against the run line on the road and 23-17 as an underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Tampa Bay Rays’ home game against the New York Yankees is right in line with their season average of 8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 44-42, and their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-12, and 41.1% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs.
Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Royals on July 3rd, he gave up two earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back further, Pepiot has made 15 starts and has a record of 4-5 this season. His ERA is 4.40, along with a WHIP of 1.12. Opposing batters are hitting .204 this season off Pepiot. The right-hander has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 9.87 strikeouts per nine innings. At home, his ERA is 5.65 compared to 4.01 on the road.
Over his last eight games, Brandon Lowe has gone 7/26 (.269) with three homers and six runs scored. This has moved his season average up to .270, which is 3rd on the team. Randy Arozarena has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 10/34 in his last nine games with one homer.
Isaac Paredes has been a nice surprise for the Rays this season, as he is batting .266 with a team-high 14 homers and 47 RBIs. Yandy Diaz is also having a good season at the plate, with a batting average of .270 and eight homers.