New York Yankees vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 5/24/24
Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees on Friday, as they are looking to extend their two-game winning streak. They are currently 35-17 and Rodon will be facing off against Yu Darvish and the Padres. San Diego has won two straight and is 2nd in the NL West. The money line odds have the Yankees at -115 compared to the Padres at -103. This interleague matchup is set for 9:40 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego, and the forecast calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 60s.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and YES will be televising this one. The Yankees are in 1st place in the AL East, while the Padres are 2nd in the NL West.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -103
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Friday, May 24th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Yankees Records & Stats
Led by a big game by Aaron Judge at the plate, the Yankees are coming off a 5-0 win over the Mariners to close out their series. Judge went 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs. The Yankees really broke things open with a three-run 7th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Yankees were at -154 at home.
Luis Gil started for the Yankees, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out eight Mariners batters. New York’s bullpen closed things out with Clay Holmes picking up the save.
The Yankees are currently 35-17 overall, putting them 1st in the AL East, leading the Orioles by three games. The Yankees will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Padres, and they are 8-5 as the road favorite this year. New York has been good at home, putting together an 18-8 mark while going 17-9 on the road.
So far, the Yankees have gone 8-8 in AL East matchups. They have won two straight games and are 8-2 over their last 10. This year, the Yankees have been the favorite in 39 of their games, and they are 26-13 in those matchups. As for playing as the underdog, the Yankees are 9-4 this season.
The Yankees have been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 16-10 against the spread. Their average run margin in those games is +1.5, and they have covered the run line in four straight road games. Overall, they are 29-23 ATS on the season, with an average run margin of +1.6 runs per game.
When the Yankees are on the road, the over/under line is typically set higher than 7.5 runs. In fact, 86.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. The Yankees have an over/under record of 22-28 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.1 runs per game.
Left-hander Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 5-2 with a 3.27 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .228 this year off Rodón, and he has turned in six quality starts. Rodón has done better at home, coming in with a 2.21 ERA compared to 4.78 on the road. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
So far this season, the Yankees are the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of runs scored, batting average, and on-base percentage. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Heading into the game, they are also the league’s top team in terms of on-base percentage and OPS.
Juan Soto has been the Yankees’ top hitter this season, batting .312 with 13 home runs and 41 RBIs. He is also coming off a stretch in which he went 9/23 with four homers in his last six games. Aaron Judge is also having a strong season, hitting .276 with 15 homers and 35 RBIs. Judge has also been hot of late, going 7/20 in his last six games with three homers.
Padres Records & Stats
Led by a big game by Luis Arraez at the plate, the Padres are coming off a 6-4 win over the Reds to close out their series. Arraez went 4/5 with a run scored and an RBI. The Padres really broke things open with a two-run 2nd inning and added another two runs in the 3rd.
Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had seven strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
San Diego is 27-26 overall and trails the Dodgers by 6.5 games in the NL West. The Padres will host the Yankees today, and they have won two straight games, taking the final two games of their series vs. the Reds. So far, they are 12-13 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 10-16 this year, but they have been good on the road at 17-10. As the favorite, the Padres are 16-15 and 11-11 as the underdog. So far, they have struggled at home as the underdog, going 1-5. San Diego’s overall series record is 10-6-2, and they have won two straight series.
The Padres have been a solid run line bet this season, going 29-24 overall, but they have been much better on the road than at home. San Diego is just 8-18 against the run line at Petco Park, compared to 21-6 on the road. They have lost three straight run line bets at home and are 14-17 vs. the run line as the favorite.
The Padres have been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 28-24, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 9 of their 17 games. Overall, 64.2% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs, and their over streak is at 2 games.
Yu Darvish has been dominant this season, coming into the game with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 2.08. He has made nine starts this year and has come away with the win in each of his last four outings. In his most recent start, Darvish didn’t give up a run, going seven innings and picking up the win. Darvish has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 8.69 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has only allowed two home runs. At home, his ERA is 2.94 compared to 1.80 on the road.
The Padres come into today’s game as one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they have been one of the best road teams in terms of scoring runs this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 11th in the league at 4.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .259, which is the 3rd best mark in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage.
Jurickson Profar has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Padres, going 11/26 in his last seven games. He is also 2nd on the team with seven homers and is 12th in the league with 32 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. are tied for the team lead in home runs, with eight apiece. Tatis Jr. has gone deep three times in his last seven games, but he is batting just .246 for the season.