New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 7/30/24

From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have an interleague matchup between the Yankees and Phillies. The Phillies are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -123, while the Yankees are at +104 on the money line. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 6:40 PM ET, and YES will be televising the game. Gerrit Cole will be starting for the Yankees, while the Phillies are sending Aaron Nola to the mound. New York is 63-45, and the Phillies are 65-41, putting them first in the NL East. Philadelphia has lost two straight, while the Yankees are riding a three-game winning streak.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -123

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, July 30th.

HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Yankees to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York cruised to a 14-4 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their fourteen runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were at +116 on the money line.

Luis Gil only went 5 1/3 innings for the Yankees but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued three walks. Zack Wheeler had a rough outing for the Phillies, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work.

Aaron Judge and Jazz Chisholm Jr. each homered twice for the Yankees. Judge, Juan Soto, and Austin Wells each had three RBIs. As for the Phillies, Brandon Marsh hit a home run and drove in two runs.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are on the road today, taking on the Phillies, and they lead the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. New York is 63-45 overall and have won three straight games. Their record vs. other AL East teams is 20-22 this season.

At home, the Yankees have gone 27-23 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 36-22. New York has won four straight games as the underdog, and they are 16-6 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Yankees are 47-39 this season.

When playing on the road, the Yankees have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 34-24. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 18-4 as the underdog this season. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.

When the Yankees are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8 runs. This season, the over has hit in 58 of their 104 games, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. Currently, the over has hit in five straight games for the Yankees.

New York is sending Gerrit Cole to the mound today as he faces the Phillies on the road. Cole has made 7 starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 5.40. Looking at his overall numbers, Cole has a WHIP of 1.46 and opponents are batting .271 this season. In his last outing, Cole took the loss, giving up 6 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Cole has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.

Not only are the Yankees the top-scoring team in the league this season, but they also have the best on-base percentage and OPS in the league. They have been particularly good on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per game. New York is also 2nd in home runs and have the 2nd best isolated power figure in the league. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 9th in the league.

Both Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been on fire of late, with Soto hitting .429 over his last 10 games and Judge batting .400. Judge has gone deep five times in that stretch, and he is the league’s top home run hitter this season. Judge also leads the MLB with 99 RBIs, while Soto is 4th in the league with 77 RBIs.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia is 65-41 overall this season, and they lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies have dropped two straight games, and this came after taking two of three from the Pirates. So far, they are 15-10 in the division.

At home, the Phillies are 38-19 this season, and they are just over .500 at 27-22 on the road. This season, the Phillies are 57-33 as the favorite, and they are an even 8-8 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 19-12-5 in series this year.

While the Phillies have been a .500 team against the run line overall, they have been slightly better at home, going 28-29. Their average run margin is 1.0, and they have been favored in 90 games, going 45-45 against the run line. They have been better at covering the run line on the road, going 25-24, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.9.

When the Phillies are at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Phillies games is 47-54, and the average line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 4-10-1. This season, 13.2% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs, with 72.6% of their games having lower lines.

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Yankees at home. Nola has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 11-4 with a 3.44 ERA. This season, he has one complete game shutout and 15 quality starts. Nola’s ERA for the season is 3.84 at home, compared to 4.35 on the road. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in batting average and 5th in home runs. The Phillies are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Over his last six games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 7/20 with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .247 with 22 homers. Schwarber’s 63 RBIs is 3rd on the team, and he is also 11th in the league in homers. Alec Bohm has been the team’s top run producer so far, as his 71 RBIs is 1st on the team and 8th in the MLB.