Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/30/24

Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins on Tuesday, and he is facing off against Jeffrey Springs and the Rays. This interleague matchup is set to get started at 6:50 PM ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg. The Marlins are 5th in the NL East with an overall record of 39-67, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East and have won two straight.

On the money line, the Rays are the heavy favorite, with their odds sitting at -174 compared to the Marlins at +147. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and BSFL will be televising this one.

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline -174

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Tuesday, July 30th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS RAYS:

• We have the Rays winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami closed out their series vs. the Brewers with a 6-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Marlins were the +179 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Brewers scored twice in the bottom of the first.

Kyle Tyler got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits. Offensively, the Marlins scored their only other run in the 7th inning. Xavier Edwards was hot at the plate, going 4/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Miami is 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 26 games for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 39-67 and are 26.0 games out of the Wild Card. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 9-21.

The Marlins kick off their series vs. the Rays on the road, where they are 17-33 this season. At home, they have gone 22-34. Miami has been the underdog in most of their games, and they are 35-54 in those matchups. As for their series record, they are 10-21-3 this year and have won two straight series.

When betting the run line, the Marlins have been a better bet as the underdog, going 48-41. They have been a poor bet as the favorite, going just 2-15 on the run line. Their average run differential is -1.3 runs per game, and they are 50-56 on the run line this season.

The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Tampa Bay Rays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 58-45. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 15-6. Overall, 73.6% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Rays. So far, he has made nine starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 7.04. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.62. In his 38 1/3 innings of work, he has allowed a total of nine homers. Per nine innings, Cabrera is averaging 5.63 walks compared to 11.5 strikeouts. The right-hander’s last outing came on July 24th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

Josh Bell has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins of late, going 12/34 in his last nine games with five homers and nine RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .239, and he is 2nd on the team with 14 homers. Bryan De La Cruz is the team’s top power threat, as his 18 homers are 15th in the league, and he is batting .245 for the season.

As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, putting up 4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .237 and have the league’s worst on-base percentage. Miami’s team isolated power of .125 is the worst in the MLB.

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays’s offense was carried by Brandon Lowe in their most recent game vs. the Reds, a 2-1 win. Lowe went 2/4 with two singles and a run scored. The Rays only had three total hits but scored their two runs in the 8th inning to pick up the win. Tampa Bay was the +101 underdog at home going into the game.

Shawn Armstrong got the start for the Rays, going two innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win out of the bullpen. Garrett Cleavinger also pitched well in relief, going 2.1 innings, and didn’t give up a run. Pete Fairbanks closed things out in the 9th, picking up the save.

Tampa Bay is 54-52 overall and trails the Orioles by 8.5 games in the AL East. The Rays are also 2.0 games behind the Red Sox for the final Wild Card spot. The Rays have gone just 16-21 in AL East games this year.

The Rays have won two straight games, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Reds. So far, they have been good as the home favorite, going 20-17, and they are 29-26 as the favorite overall. As for their time on the road, the Rays are 25-24 this year.

The Rays have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 52-54 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 29-20. They have also covered the run line in four straight games at home. Their average run margin is -0.5 on the season.

The Tampa Bay Rays are playing at home against the Miami Marlins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.4 runs, and their over/under record is 50-51. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-15. This season, 66.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and they are currently on a 3-game under streak.

Jeffrey Springs is coming off a season in which he made three starts and went 2-0. His ERA for the season was .56, and he had an impressive WHIP of .50. Springs’ batting average allowed was .080, and his on-base percentage allowed was .145. He made two quality starts and finished the season with an average of 13.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Springs’ walks per game average was 1.3, and he finished the season with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 6.0.

Over the past seven games, Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe have been swinging the bat well for the Rays, with both players hitting .333 and three homers during that stretch. For Lowe, his three homers are part of a stretch in which he has gone 10/30. Lowe’s seven RBIs over the past nine games are also a team high.

For the season, the Rays are batting just .234, which is 17th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game and home runs. As a team, they are averaging 4 runs per game and have a collective slugging percentage of just .373. Tampa Bay’s top home run hitter is Isaac Paredes, who has 16 homers this season, but he is batting just .245.