New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/1/24

The money line odds for Monday’s Mets vs. Nationals matchup are at -111 for the Mets and -107 for the Nationals. MacKenzie Gore will be starting for the Nationals, while the Mets are going with David Peterson. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 PM ET.

New York comes in with a record of 40-41 and is currently on a two-game losing streak. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Mets are 3rd in the NL East. As for the Nationals, they are 4th in the division at 39-44.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline -107

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Monday, July 1st.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Mets Records & Stats

New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 10-5 loss to the Astros, Brandon Nimmo went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs. The Mets also got a good start from Luis Severino, going seven innings and giving up just three runs on eight hits. However, they couldn’t close things out, and Matt Festa took the loss out of the bullpen.

Severino was especially good for the Mets, going seven innings and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. However, the Mets couldnjson’t close things out, and the Astros scored five runs in the top of the 11th to pick up the win. New York was the -125 favorite at home going into the game.

The Mets are 40-41 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the NL East, 13.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. New York is heading into today’s game having lost two straight games, and they are 11-10 against other NL East teams this year. The Mets are also 21-25 at home compared to 19-16 on the road.

As the road favorite, the Mets have gone 6-6 this year, and they are 21-21 when favored overall. New York’s series record is 12-13-3 this year, and they have won three straight series on the road. Their overall series record is 12-13-3.

When it comes to the run line, the Mets have been a better bet on the road, where they are 21-14. Their average run margin is 0.1 runs per game, but they have a positive scoring margin on the road, averaging 0.6 more runs per game than their opponents. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.5, while it is -3.2 in losing games.

The Mets have been a consistent over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 43-36 on the season, and they have hit the over in five straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Nationals is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average.

David Peterson and the Mets are on the road to take on the Nationals today. Peterson has a win in each of his first two starts, and in his last outing, he went 4 1/3 innings and struck out 8 but took a no-decision. He has given up 3 homers in 16 innings of work so far this season.

Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor have been swinging the bat well of late, with Nimmo hitting .300 over his last eight games with four homers and 10 RBIs. Lindor has also been hot, going 12/37 in his last eight games. For the season, Nimmo and Lindor are both tied for 2nd on the team with 13 homers. Pete Alonso has a team-high 17 homers and is 2nd on the club with 46 RBIs.

As a team, the Mets are 6th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they also have a collective batting average of .250, which is 8th in the league.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington closed out their series vs. the Rays with a 5-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +163 underdog on the money line. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 2nd inning, as the Rays scored three runs in the inning. Washington’s offense didn’t score their first run until the 4th.

Patrick Corbin got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He went six innings, giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Corbin only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss.

Washington is 39-44 overall and trail the Phillies by 15.5 games in the NL East. So far, they are 14-10 against other teams in the NL East. The Nationals will host the Mets today, and they are 13-15 as the home underdog this year.

The Nationals lost two of three in their recent series vs. the Rays. Currently, they have dropped two straight series and are 3-7 over their last 10 games.

Washington has been a solid bet on the run line this season, posting a 48-35 record. They are 20-16 at home on the run line and 28-19 on the road. They have been the underdog in most games, going 41-27 on the run line. Their average run differential is -0.2 runs per game.

The Washington Nationals have seen a combined run average of 8.4 in their games this season, and the over/under record for their games is 38-42. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-6-1. In 59.0% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs, and in 26.5% of their games, the line has been set lower than 8 runs.

Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.60 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.39, and opponents are batting .256 off him this year. In his last outing, he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gore has given up a home run in three straight outings. So far, he has five quality starts and is averaging 10.48 strikeouts per nine innings.

Washington’s offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league and is also 20th in home runs. As a team, they are batting just .235 and have an on-base percentage of only .304. Heading into the game, CJ Abrams is batting .283 for the season and has been hot of late, going 15/32 in his last nine games with two homers and six RBIs.

Overall, Abrams leads the Nationals with 42 RBIs and has 13 homers, which is 13th in the league. Jesse Winker is 2nd on the team with nine homers and is batting .256 for the season. Winker is also 3rd on the team with 37 RBIs.