Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/1/24

Monday’s Astros vs. Blue Jays game has a first pitch set for 3:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Hunter Brown will go for the Astros, and he will be facing off against Yariel Rodriguez. The Astros are the slight favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

The Astros are 42-41 and are on a two-game winning streak, while the Blue Jays are 38-45 and are 5th in the AL East. Houston is +108 on the run line compared to the Blue Jays at -131. SNET is carrying this one on TV.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +128

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 3:07 ET on Monday, July 1st.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Astros Records & Stats

Houston closed out their series vs. the Mets with an impressive 10-5 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at +107 on the money line. It was a five-run 11th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Mets could only score one run in the bottom of the 11th to pick up the win.

Shawn Dubin put together a good start for the Astros, going 3 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the start from the Astros. Jon Singleton was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and a run scored. The Astros also had three other players with two hits.

Houston is 42-41 overall heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Blue Jays. They are 3.5 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead, and they lead the division in their most recent series. The Astros took two of three games vs. the Mets and have gone 9-1 over their last 10 games.

As the Astros take on the Blue Jays on the road, they are 18-22 away from home compared to 24-19 at home. Houston has been good in closing out series, as they are on a five-series winning streak, and their overall series record is 15-11-1 this year.

The Astros have been a solid run line bet this season, going 40-43 overall, including a 22-21 mark at home. They have a run line record of 18-22 on the road and have covered in their last two games away from home. Houston has been favored in 63 games this season and has gone 28-35 against the run line in those contests.

The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is below their season average of 9.0 runs per game. The Astros have played to the over in 31 of their 79 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 9-13. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game this season.

Hunter Brown has been pitching well for the Astros, as he has won his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Rockies and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two hits. In that outing, he didn’t allow a run. Brown’s record for the season is 5-5, and his ERA is 4.37. Looking at his overall numbers, Brown has made 15 starts, eight of which were quality starts. His ERA on the road is 21.15 compared to 3.55 at home. For the year, he has allowed 12 homers and is averaging 9.97 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league, and have the league’s best team batting average. Houston has been especially good at home this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. One thing to watch today is the Astros’ team strikeout numbers, as they are the league’s best team at avoiding strikeouts.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as Alvarez has 16 homers and Tucker has 19. Alvarez is batting .294 for the season, while Tucker is at .266. Jose Altuve has been hot of late, going 16/44 in his last 10 games, and is batting .304 for the season. Yainer Diaz has also been on a tear, going 18/42 in his last 10 games.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with an 8-1 loss. Toronto was actually the slight favorite at home going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Yankees scored two runs in the 1st and added another two in the 2nd.

Offensively, the Blue Jays only had four fewer hits than the Yankees but scored just one run. Their lone run came in the 3rd inning. Kevin Gausman took the loss and only lasted 4 1/3 innings. He gave up seven earned runs on seven hits and issued five walks.

Toronto is 38-45 overall and trails the Orioles by 14.5 games in the AL East. So far, they are 12-16 against other AL East teams. The Blue Jays are just 2-8 as home underdogs this year and have gone 9-25 as the underdog overall.

At home, the Blue Jays are 20-21 compared to 18-24 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 29-20 this year. They are coming off a series where they split the four games with the Yankees. Currently, they are just 3-7 over their last ten games.

When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. Their run line record is 39-44, and they are 15-26 against the run line at home. They are 24-18 against the run line on the road.

The Blue Jays are at home today, facing the Astros, with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Toronto games this season is 8.7, and their over/under record is 39-41. The average over/under line in Blue Jays games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 11-15. Only 10.8% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, and their current over streak is at seven games.

Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to rebound from a rough outing vs. the Guardians on June 21st. In that start, he took the loss, going just 1 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodríguez has made five starts and has a record of 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .292 this season off Rodríguez, and his WHIP is 1.92. So far, he has allowed a total of two homers and is averaging 5.94 walks per nine innings.

Over the past nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire for the Blue Jays, going 17/39 with six homers and 20 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in home runs and RBIs, while he is also batting .297 for the season. Toronto has also gotten some good recent production from catcher Alejandro Kirk, who is on a three-game hitting streak.

For the season, the Blue Jays are 23rd in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .236, which is 15th in the league, and are one of the top teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts. As a team, they are 19th in home runs and have not been great in terms of their isolated power numbers.