New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/5/24
At 5:15 PM ET, the Mets and Cardinals square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Mets are favored on the money line (-118) compared to the Cardinals at -101. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
New York is currently on a two-game losing streak, and the Mets are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 58-53. St. Louis is 2nd in the NL Central at 57-55. SNY will be televising Monday’s matchup.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline -101
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 5:15 ET on Monday, August 5th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Mets Records & Stats
New York closed out their series vs. the Angels with a 3-2 loss on the road. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Angels scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th. The Mets were the -152 favorite going into the game.
Jose Quintana had a good start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just three hits and one earned run while striking out four. However, the Mets couldnjson’t close things out, and Jose Quintana took the loss. The Mets also wasted a big game from Kris Bryant, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 3 for 4.
The Mets come into today’s game vs. the Cardinals two games above .500 at 58-53, which has them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by eight games for the lead in the NL East. New York lost two straight games to the Angels to close out that series.
At home, the Mets are 30-29 this season and have gone 28-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 36-30 and 22-23 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 16-14-7 this season.
When the Mets are on the road, they have a positive run differential of 0.4 runs per game. Their run line record on the road is 28-24, but they have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games. As the underdog, the Mets have a positive run line record of 27-18.
When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Mets and their opponents have combined to average 9.4 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 58-49, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-6-4. So far this season, 11.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 75.7% have had lines set below that number.
New York is sending left-hander Sean Manaea to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with a 3.50 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his last outing, he was dominant, going seven innings and not giving up a run vs. the Twins. He finished that game with 11 strikeouts. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. The last time he faced the Cardinals, he gave up 1 homer and 5 earned runs in 5 innings of work.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in 5th in the league. As a team, they are batting .249, which is the 10th best mark in the MLB right now.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Lindor having 22 homers and Alonso at 23. Lindor is also on a four-game hitting streak. Lindor is batting .256 for the season, and Alonso is at .241. Lindor’s 64 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team, while Alonso is 3rd with 59.
Cardinals Records & Stats
The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Cubs who handed the Cardinals the loss. St. Louis was the +124 underdog on the road going into this matchup.
Miles Mikolas had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Masyn Winn, who homered in the 3rd inning, going 1/4.
St. Louis is 57-55 overall and 5.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals lost their most recent series vs. the Cubs, dropping three of four games. So far, they are 17-19 in divisional games.
At home, the Cardinals are 29-25 and have gone 28-30 on the road. As the underdog, St. Louis is 28-28 this season and 29-27 as the favorite. Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals have won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 18-14-3.
When the Cardinals win, they win big, averaging a run margin of +2.7 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of -3.6 runs per game. Their run line record is 56-56, and they are 27-27 at home and 29-29 on the road. They are 19-37 vs. the run line as the favorite and 37-19 as the underdog. They have covered the run line in two straight games at home.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the St. Louis Cardinals’ game against the New York Mets is slightly higher than their season average of 8.7 combined runs per game. The Cardinals have played in 87 games with lower over/under lines than 9 runs, compared to just 8 games with higher lines. Their overall over/under record for the season is 55-54, and their record in games with a line of 9 runs is 8-8-1.
Through 10 starts, Andre Pallante has a record of 4-5 and an ERA of 4.04 for the Cardinals. Looking back at his last outing, Pallante took the loss, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits to the Rangers. He has given up at least one homer in three of his last four outings. Pallante has made 19 appearances this season and has a total of three quality starts. The right-hander’s ERA at home is 2.84 compared to 4.24 on the road.
So far this season, the Cardinals have been a below-average offensive team, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 11th in the league, and they have the 11th best team on-base percentage in the league. St. Louis has been led in home runs by both Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman, who each have 19 homers.
Burleson and Gorman are also the top two run producers for the Cardinals this season, with Burleson leading the way with 64 RBIs and Gorman sitting in 3rd with 50 RBIs. Brendan Donovan has been a solid run producer as well, as his 52 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. Masyn Winn has been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/45 in his last 10 games, with 4 homers.