New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 5/8/24
At 1:15 PM ET, the Mets and Cardinals will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and features a Cardinals club that is 15-21 vs. a Mets team that is 18-18. Jose Quintana will go for the Mets, while Sonny Gray is on the bump for the Cardinals.
Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Cardinals are the favorite at -167. If you’re looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by SNY.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline -167
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 1:15 ET on Wednesday, May 8th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
New York picked up a 7-5 road win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense got off to a fast start, scoring six of their seven runs in the first five innings. As for the Cardinals, they scored three runs in the 1st inning but could only muster two more runs the rest of the way.
Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo each homered for the Mets, while Alec Burleson went deep for the Cardinals. Alonso, Nimmo, Jeff McNeil, J.D. Martinez, Francisco Lindor, and Starling Marte each had two hits for New York’s offense.
José Buttó got the win for the Mets out of the bullpen, while Adam Ottavino got the save. Miles Mikolas had a rough outing for the Cardinals, taking the loss.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 18-18 overall this season, and they are 2-1 against other teams in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 7.5 games for the lead in the division. New York has won two straight games, and they took the first two games of this series vs. the Cardinals.
At home, the Mets are 9-10 this year, and they are one game above .500 at 9-8 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 19 games, going 10-9 in those matchups. As for their record as the underdog, the Mets are 8-9 this year. New York’s overall series record is 5-5-1, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games overall.
When the Mets are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 11-6. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 3-0 as the underdog against the run line in that span. Their average run differential on the road is +0.4 runs per game, and their average run differential in games they win is +3.2 runs per game.
The Mets have played 36 games this season, and their over/under record is 18-18. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per contest, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Cardinals is set at 7.5 runs. The Mets have played nine games this season with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, and the over/under record in those games is 4-5.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.54. In his last outing, he took the loss, going just 2 2/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs, 10 hits, and one homer. Opponents are batting .272 off Quintana this year. Per nine innings, he has 6.19 strikeouts and 3.96 walks. Quintana has a 10.66 ERA on the road compared to 2.26 at home.
Brandon Nimmo has been on a tear of late, going 10/32 in his last nine games with three homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs while batting just .229 for the season. Pete Alonso has nine homers for the Mets, which is 3rd in the league, but he is batting just .212. Shortstop Francisco Lindor has also struggled at the plate, hitting just .211.
Overall, the Mets are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have been a better offensive team on the road this season. As a team, they are 8th in home runs and are one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. New York comes into the game with the 12th best on-base percentage in the league.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is looking to avoid losing their fifth straight game today, as they have dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Mets. Currently, they are 5th in the NL Central, 6.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have yet to win a game vs. another NL Central team (0-3).
At home, the Cardinals are just 6-11 this year compared to 9-10 on the road. St. Louis has struggled in day games this year, going 5-15. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 8-11 this year and 7-10 as the underdog. So far, they are 5-9 as the home favorite.
When the Cardinals are the underdog, they’ve been a good bet to cover the run line, going 11-6. They’ve been a bad bet as the favorite, going just 7-12. The average run margin in their losses is -3.4, compared to +2.5 in their wins.
St. Louis Cardinals games have gone over the total in 13 of 22 games this season. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has gone 1-9 in those games. In total, 25 of their 36 games have had over/under lines set at more than 7.5 runs.
Sonny Gray has gotten off to a great start to the season, picking up wins in each of his first two starts. He went 6 innings in his first start against the Mets, giving up 4 runs. However, he bounced back with a strong outing vs. the White Sox, where he went 7 innings and struck out 6.
St. Louis comes into today’s game with the league’s 29th ranked scoring offense, averaging just 3.5 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 3.4 runs per game, but that is still only good for 27th in the league. As a team, the Cardinals are batting just .218, which is 22nd in the league.
Over the team’s last seven games, Nolan Arenado has gone 8/26, and Brendan Donovan has two homers in this stretch, but is batting just .233. Donovan is also on a four-game hitting streak. Willson Contreras has also gone deep twice in the team’s last seven games, while going 7/23.