New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/25/24

First pitch for Sunday’s matchup between the Mets and Padres is set for 4:10 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego. The Padres are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -119 compared to the Mets at +100. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

Jose Quintana will be starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Martin Perez for the Padres. New York is 68-62 overall, while the Padres are 73-58. This game will be televised on WPIX.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -119

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, August 25th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York cruised to a 7-1 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +121 on the money line.

David Peterson pitched well for the Mets in this one, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with two strikeouts and two walks. On the other side, Michael King only went five innings for the Padres, giving up one earned run on three hits.

Francisco Lindor and Harrison Bader each homered for the Mets. Lindor, Bader, and Kyle Higashioka each had two hits and two RBIs. Lindor also scored two runs and stole a base.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 7.5 games. Overall, the Mets are 68-62 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Padres. They have gone 22-17 against other teams in the NL East this season.

As the Mets have an overall record above .500, they have gone 6-4 over their last ten games. New York has been good as the favorite this year, putting together a record of 43-35. As for their mark as the underdog, they are 25-27, including 18-16 as the road underdog. The Mets have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 21-16-7 this year.

When betting the run line in New York Mets games, it’s been a mixed bag. The Mets are 61-69 against the run line this season, but they’ve been better on the road (33-29) than at home (28-40). They’ve been a better bet as the underdog (30-22) than as the favorite (31-47). Their average run differential in all games is +0.2 runs per game, but it jumps to +0.3 on the road. In their wins, they’re averaging +3.7 runs per game, while in their losses, they’re averaging -3.5 runs per game.

Today, the New York Mets are on the road facing the San Diego Padres. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have played in 40 games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs this season, and their record in those games is 24-16. Their games have averaged a combined 9.3 runs per game this season.

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Padres. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.57. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. In his 25 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.12 strikeouts per nine innings. Quintana has been much better at home this season, coming in with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 4.79. On the road, his ERA is 5.99, and he is 3-4.

Francisco Lindor has been on a tear of late, going 13/37 in his last nine games with four homers and nine RBIs. Lindor is also tied with Pete Alonso for the team lead in homers, as both players have gone deep 27 times this season. Alonso is batting just .245 for the season, but he has gone deep 27 times and is 3rd on the team with 71 RBIs. Mark Vientos has also been a nice surprise for the Mets, as he is hitting .274 with 20 homers.

Overall, the Mets are 4th in home runs this season and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .248, which is 9th in the league, and are 7th in on-base percentage.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is 73-58 overall this season, and they are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they are 20-20 in divisional games. The Padres have gone 5-5 across their last ten games and are losing their series vs. the Mets 1-2.

At home, the Padres are 36-32 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 37-26. As the favorite, the Padres are 46-36, and they are 27-22 as the underdog this year.

When the Padres win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, but in their losses, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. San Diego has a run line record of 68-63 on the season, but they have been much better on the road, going 41-22 against the run line. As the underdog, they are 34-15 against the run line, while they are just 27-41 at home.

The San Diego Padres are home against the New York Mets today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Padres games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 71-59. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-14. Overall, 24 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 18.3% of their games this season.

Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today vs. the Mets and comes into the game with a record of 3-5 and ERA of 4.67. So far this year, he has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .286 off the left-hander. Perez has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone 2-0 in three straight outings. Peréz has not lost since July 31st.

So far this season, the Padres have been the league’s best hitting team, with a team batting average of .266. They are also 1st in the league in fewest strikeouts per game and have the best slugging percentage in the league. San Diego is also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and OPS. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league.

Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 20 apiece. Profar is also the team’s top run producer, with 77 RBIs, while Machado is 2nd with 74. Over his last eight games, Machado is batting .310 with two homers. Profar is also on a three-game hitting streak. Luis Arraez is batting .304 for the season and has gone deep four times.