New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/24/24
At 8:40 PM ET, the Mets and Padres square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are the slight favorite on the money line (-151). The Mets have a money line odds of +127, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
New York will be looking for a win with David Peterson on the mound, while the Padres are starting Michael King. Both teams are 3rd in their respective divisions. The Mets are 67-62, and the Padres are 73-57.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -151
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 8:40 ET on Saturday, August 24th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
San Diego cruised to a 7-0 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three of their seven runs. As for the Mets, they only had two hits and struck out 14 times in the game.
Joe Musgrove started for the Padres and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but didn’t issue a single walk. Paul Blackburn got the start for the Mets and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in just 2 1/3 innings of work.
Luis Arraez and Kyle Higashioka each homered for the Padres, while Manny Machado scored three times and drove in a run while going 3/5. David Peralta also had a two-hit game and scored a run for San Diego’s offense.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 67-62 overall and trail the Phillies by 7.5 games in the NL East. So far, they have gone 22-17 in divisional matchups. New York will be on the road today, facing the Padres, and they are 32-29 on the road this year.
As the favorite, the Mets have gone 43-35 this year and 24-27 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 21-16-7, and they have won two straight series. Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Mets win, they tend to cover the run line by an average of 3.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs per game. Overall, they are 60-69 against the run line this season, including a 32-29 mark on the road.
When the Mets hit the road, the over/under line is usually set higher than 7.5 runs. In fact, 70.5% of their games away from Citi Field have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. The Mets’ games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 65-60.
New York is sending left-hander David Peterson to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 7-1 with a 3.00 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .235 this season. Peterson has turned in seven quality starts this year and is averaging 7.38 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been better on the road, coming in with a 4-0 record and 3.01 ERA compared to 3-1 with a 3.24 ERA at home.
Francisco Lindor has been red hot for the Mets of late, going 14/41 in his last 10 games with three homers and six RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .268 with 25 homers and 73 RBIs. Pete Alonso is also having a good season for the Mets, hitting .245 with 27 homers.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in team batting average and have the league’s 8th best OPS.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is 73-57 overall and 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. In the NL West, they are 20-20 this season. The Padres are hosting the Mets today with an overall home record of 36-31. On the road, San Diego has gone 37-26 this season.
The Padres have an overall series record of 26-14-3 this year, and they are 46-35 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Padres are 27-22 this season. San Diego has gone 6-4 across their last 10 games and are currently tied with the Mets in their series.
When betting the run line on the Padres, it’s been more profitable to do so on the road, where they are 41-22. They have a run line record of 27-40 at home. The average run margin in their games overall is +0.5 runs per game. In their wins, the average run margin is +3.7 runs per game, while in their losses, it’s -3.5 runs per game.
San Diego has played in 77 games this season where the over/under line was set at 7.5 runs, and they have gone over the total in 20 of those contests. Their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 70-59. The Padres have played in just 11 games where the over/under line was set lower than 7.5 runs, which accounts for only 8.5% of their games this season.
Michael King will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win and gave up just two earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Looking back further, King has made 24 starts and is 11-6 with a 3.18 ERA. Opponents are batting .217 off the right-hander this season. King has made 12 quality starts and is averaging 10.63 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has a total of 167 strikeouts. King has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 8-2, and 3.31 ERA compared to 3-4 with a 3.83 ERA at home.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .266. They are also 1st in the league in fewest strikeouts and are among the league leaders in on-base percentage and slugging. The Padres have been a good home run hitting team this season, but their isolated power number of .153 is just 16th in the league.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are both tied for the team lead with 20 home runs, and Profar’s 77 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. Machado is 2nd on the team in RBIs with 74. Luis Arraez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/21 in his last five games, including one home run. Arraez and David Peralta both come into the game on four-game hitting streaks.