New York Mets vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 7/24/24

At 7:05 PM ET, the Mets and Yankees will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line at -168. The money line odds for a Mets win are sitting at +141.
The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and ESPN will be televising this game. Sean Manaea will start for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Gerrit Cole. The Yankees are 2nd in the AL East, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East.
NEW YORK METS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline +141
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Wednesday, July 24th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS YANKEES:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
New York picked up a 3-2 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense only had two more hits than the Yankees and struck out 11 times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at +131 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jose Quintana for the Mets and Luis Gil for the Yankees. Quintana only went five innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. On the other side, Gil also went five innings and gave up one earned run on four hits.
Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso each had two hits and two RBIs for the Mets’ offense. Gleyber Torres hit the game’s only home run and went 1/3 for the Yankees.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 52-48 overall and trail the Phillies by 11.5 games in the NL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division, two games behind the Braves for the 2nd spot in the NL East. New York has won two straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 contests.
At home, the Mets are an even 26-26 this season, and they have gone 26-22 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets are 20-22 this season and 32-26 when favored. New York’s overall series record is 15-13-6, and they are winning their current series vs. the Yankees.
The Mets have been a good bet against the run line on the road this season, going 26-22. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game away from home.
The Mets are on the road today against the Yankees, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Mets games this season is 9.5 runs, and their overall over/under record is 53-44. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Mets have a record of 17-11. So far this season, 24.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces off against the Yankees on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 6-4 with an ERA of 3.73. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note for Manaea is that he has allowed just one earned run in three of his last four outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.62 strikeouts and 3.64 walks.
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are 8th in batting average. As a team, the Mets have the league’s 5th best isolated power figure at .169.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ most consistent power threats this season, as both have 19 homers. Lindor comes into the game on an 8-game hitting streak, and Alonso has gone deep four times in his past nine games. Lindor is 2nd on the team with 55 RBIs, while Brandon Nimmo is 13th in the league with 63 RBIs.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees host the Mets today with an overall record of 60-43, which has them 2nd in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Orioles by 1.5 games in the division. New York dropped the first game of this series vs. the Mets and has an overall series record of 18-10-4 this year.
At home, the Yankees are 27-22 this year and have gone 33-21 on the road. So far, they are 46-37 as the favorite and 14-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Yankees have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Yankees have been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 31-23, compared to 23-26 at home. They have an average run margin of +1.0 runs per game overall, but that number jumps to +1.4 on the road. The Yankees have been a profitable run line bet as an underdog, going 16-4, compared to 38-45 as the favorite. In their wins, the Yankees have an average run margin of +4.1 runs per game, but that number drops to -3.3 runs per game in their losses.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the New York Yankees’ game against the New York Mets is slightly higher than the average line for Yankees games this season. The Yankees have played in 24 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 26-17. Overall, the Yankees’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the year is 53-46.
Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees today vs. the Mets and comes into the game with a record of 3-1 and ERA of 4.60. So far, he has made six starts and has turned in two quality starts. Cole’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.40. In his last outing, he went six innings, giving up one earned run, and got the win. Looking back over his last four outings, Cole has given up just one earned run in three of them. The right-hander has been pitching well lately and will look to keep it going today vs. the Mets.
Not only are the Yankees the top home run hitting team in the league, but they are also 2nd in the league in runs scored and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.6 runs per game at home. The Yankees are also the top walk-drawing team in the league and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.
Both Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been swinging the bat well of late, with Soto hitting .406 over his last seven games and Judge batting .309 for the season with a league-leading 35 homers. Judge also has the most RBIs in the league this season, while Soto’s 71 RBIs are also near the top of the league. Giancarlo Stanton is currently on a 10-game hitting streak.