New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/6/24
From Coors Field in Denver, we have the Mets and Rockies facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 8:40 PM ET, and the Rockies are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. However, they are heavy underdogs on the money line (+133), with the Mets being favored (-158). The over/under line is sitting at 11.5 runs.
Luis Severino will start for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Kyle Freeland. The Mets are 59-53 this season, which has them 3rd in the NL East, while the Rockies are 41-72 overall and 5th in the NL West. SNY will be televising this one.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline +133
This game will be played at Coors Field at 8:40 ET on Tuesday, August 6th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS ROCKIES:
- We have the Rockies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the under
Mets Records & Stats
To close out their series vs. the Cardinals, the Mets picked up a 6-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -109 on the money line. It was a big second inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Cardinals could only score one run, which came in the 2nd.
Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out 10 Cardinals batters. New York’s offense was carried by Jeff McNeil, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
The Mets are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Rockies. Overall, the Mets are 59-53, and they are 20-16 in divisional games this year. New York will be looking to pick up a win today, as they are just 5-5 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Mets are 30-29 this season, and they have gone 29-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 36-30 this year and 23-23 as the underdog. New York has an overall series record of 18-14-7 coming into today’s game, and they won their most recent series vs. the Cardinals.
When the Mets are on the road, they have a positive run differential of 0.5 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 29 of their 53 road games this season. They have been an underdog in 46 games and have covered the run line in 28 of those contests.
The Mets have played to an over/under record of 58-50 this season, but their games have averaged just 9.4 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Rockies is set at 11.5 runs, which is well above their season average. In fact, 99.1% of their games this season have had lower over/under lines than 11.5 runs. The under has hit in their last two games.
The Mets are sending Luis Severino to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 3.93. So far, Severino has made 21 starts, and opponents are batting .226 this season. In his 21 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 6.99 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Severino took the loss, giving up six earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, with a 4.25 ERA compared to 4.49 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and they have been very good at scoring runs this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, their team batting average is .249 (8th) and have the 7th best slugging percentage in the league. New York’s offense is led by Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor, who have 23 and 22 home runs this season, respectively.
Over his last five games, Jeff McNeil has gone 6/14 with a home run and five runs scored. This has helped him move into the team’s top spot in batting average at .232. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the top two run producers for the Mets, with Lindor’s 64 RBIs leading the team.
Rockies Records & Stats
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 10-2 loss. Colorado was the +191 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rockies, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Padres scored three times in the bottom of the first.
Colorado started Cal Quantrill, and he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. The Rockies also issued three walks and hit two batters. Jacob Stallings had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring both of the team’s runs.
With a record of 41-72, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 25 games. Overall, they are 13.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot. The Rockies lost the first two games of their series vs. the Padres but won the final game.
At home, the Rockies are 24-29 this season compared to a 17-43 mark on the road. So far, they have gone just 13-24 against other teams in the NL West. This year, they are 12-29 in day games.
The Rockies have a run line record of 57-56, with a run line record of 29-24 at home and 28-32 on the road. Their average run margin is -1.6 runs per game, with a -0.8 run margin in home games and a -2.3 run margin in road games. They have covered the run line in all of their games as the underdog, but have yet to cover the run line as the favorite.
The Colorado Rockies are at home today against the New York Mets, with the over/under line set at 11.5 runs. Their combined run average this season is 10.0, and their over/under record is 58-53. Their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 11.5 runs, their record is 3-3. This season, only 5.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 11.5 runs, with just 6 games having higher lines.
Kyle Freeland gets the start for the Rockies today and is coming off a strong outing in which he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing, he picked up the win. Looking back over his last four starts, Freeland has given up two earned runs or fewer in three of them. His overall record is 3-4, and he has an ERA of 5.64 to go along with a WHIP of 1.51. Opposing batters are hitting .298 off Freeland this year. Per nine innings, he has 7.32 strikeouts and just 2.29 walks.
Colorado’s offense has been a bit below average on the season, averaging 4.2 runs per game, but they have been a better offensive team at home, where they are averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and they have the 13th best slugging percentage in the league. The Rockies have been one of the league’s best teams at putting the ball in play, as their .30 BABIP is the 3rd best mark in the league.
Michael Toglia and Brenton Doyle are tied for the team lead with 19 home runs, with Doyle’s 55 RBIs leading the team. Toglia has just a .204 batting average this season, while Doyle comes in at .266. Ezequiel Tovar has been a good source of batting average and power, as he is batting .280 and has 18 homers.