New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 8/28/24

You can catch this NL matchup between the Mets and Diamondbacks on SNY starting at 9:40 PM ET. The game is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -126 compared to the Mets at +107.

Both Luis Severino and Eduardo Rodriguez will be on the mound for their respective teams. The Mets are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 69-63, while the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West at 75-57.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -126

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Wednesday, August 28th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored all three of their runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -108.

Sean Manaea started for the Mets and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just three runs. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Brandon Pfaadt had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up six runs.

Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos went 2/5 with two RBIs. J.D. Martinez also had a two-hit game for New York, driving in two runs.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are nine games out of the NL East lead, which is currently held by the Phillies. Overall, the Mets are 69-63 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Diamondbacks. New York took the series opener vs. Arizona, and they have an overall series record of 21-16-8 this year.

At home, the Mets have gone 35-33 this season, and they are just above .500 at 34-30 on the road. New York has been good as the favorite this year, putting together a mark of 43-35. As for how they have fared as the underdog on the road, they are 19-17 this year.

When the Mets are on the road, they have a run line record of 35-29, and they have covered the run line in three straight games. As the underdog, they have a run line record of 32-22, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.

When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 67-61, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have a record of 25-17. So far this season, 32 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 24.2% of their games.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 9-6 with a 3.84 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .228 off Severino this year. In his 25 starts, he has one complete game shutout and 10 quality starts. Severino’s ERA on the road is 4.72, and he has a record of 4-4 away from home. The right-hander most recently faced the Padres, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run.

Francisco Lindor has been red hot at the plate of late for the Mets, going 12/34 in his last eight games with three homers and six RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs for the season, as he is batting .270 overall with 27 homers. Pete Alonso has also been swinging the bat well, as he is on a three-game hitting streak and has gone deep 28 times this season.

Overall, the Mets are 5th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249 and have the 8th best on-base percentage in the league.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 75-57 overall and is 3.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 22-14 against other teams in the NL West this year. So far, they have been good at home, going 37-27, and they are 38-30 on the road.

As the favorite, the Diamondbacks have gone 41-25 this year and 30-16 as the favorite at home. Arizona’s overall series record is 24-14-4, and they have won two straight series. Currently, they are losing the series vs. the Mets, having dropped the first game.

Arizona has a run line record of 29-35 at home, with an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game. They have a run line record of 40-28 on the road, with an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 27-39 vs. the run line, while as the underdog, they are 42-24.

Arizona Diamondbacks games have gone over the total in 73 of their 125 games this season, and their games have averaged 10.0 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the New York Mets is set at 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 28 of the 45 games that have had an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The over has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last two games.

Eduardo Rodriguez is getting the start for the Diamondbacks at home against the Mets. He has made 3 starts so far this season, and he has a win in each of his last 2 outings. In his most recent start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up 1 earned run and striking out 5.

Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring offense in the MLB, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, as they are 7th in the league in homers. As a team, they are batting .261, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s top power threats this season, as Marte’s 30 homers are 6th in the league, and Walker is 13th in the MLB with 23 homers. Marte’s 81 RBIs are 15th in the league, and Walker is 3rd on the team with 71 RBIs. Corbin Carroll is currently on a 6-game hitting streak, and over his last nine games, he is batting .265 with three homers.