Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/28/24

At 8:40 PM ET, the Rockies and Marlins face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Coors Field in Denver, and the Rockies are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -130 compared to the Marlins at +111. The over/under line is at 11 runs.

BSFL will be televising this one, and Max Meyer will be on the mound for the Marlins. The Rockies are starting Kyle Freeland. Both teams are 5th in their respective divisions, and the Marlins are 48-84 compared to the Rockies at 49-84.

COLORADO ROCKIES VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline -130

This game will be played at Coors Field at 8:40 ET on Wednesday, August 28th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS ROCKIES:

• We have the Rockies winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Miami rallied for five runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Rockies series. The Marlins scored four runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-8 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +129 on the money line.

Roddery Muñoz only went 1 1/3 innings for the Marlins but picked up the win. George Soriano got the win for the Marlins out of the bullpen, and Calvin Faucher got the save. Angel Chivilli took the loss for the Rockies out of the bullpen.

Ezequiel Tovar had a two-home run performance for the Rockies, going 3/4 with four RBIs. Charlie Blackmon went 2/4 with a home run.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 48-84 overall and trails the Phillies by 30 games in the NL East. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division and are 13-26 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins are on a three-game losing streak in series matchups and have an overall series record of 10-26-6 this year.

At home, the Marlins are just 25-44 this year and have gone 23-40 on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 44-71 this year compared to 4-13 as the favorite. Looking at their overall play recently, the Marlins are just 3-7 over their last ten games.

When the Marlins are on the road, they have a run line record of 32-31, and they have covered the run line in three straight games. They are 59-56 against the run line as underdogs, but just 2-15 as favorites. Their average run differential on the road is -1.1, and they have an overall run line record of 61-71.

The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Colorado Rockies today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 11 runs. Miami’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-55. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and they have not had any games with an over/under line set at 11 runs this season. Only 1 out of their 132 games this season have had an over/under line set higher than 11 runs.

Miami is sending right-hander Max Meyer to the mound today as he faces the Rockies on the road. Meyer has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with an ERA of 5.44. Looking at his overall numbers, Meyer has a WHIP of 1.36 and has turned in three quality starts. In his most recent outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Meyer’s ERA for the season is 6.11 on the road.

Over his last eight games, Connor Norby has gone 11/32 for the Marlins, including two home runs. He also has scored 10 runs during this stretch. Jesús Sánchez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/25 with two homers and eight RBIs in his last eight games. Sánchez is currently on a three-game hitting streak, as are Jake Burger, Otto Lopez, and Kyle Stowers.

Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 home runs are 11th in the league. He is also 1st on the team with 59 RBIs. As a team, the Marlins are 29th in runs scored, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per contest.

Rockies Records & Stats

Colorado is hosting the Marlins today with an overall record of 49-84, which puts them 5th in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 15-28 in divisional games, and they trail the Dodgers by 29.5 games in the division. The Rockies are 19-50 on the road compared to 30-34 at home.

The Rockies have dropped two straight series and are 10-29-3 in series this year. They are also just 1-1 when favored and 48-83 as the underdog. Colorado’s overall record has dropped to 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When betting the Rockies on the run line, it’s been a better proposition to take them as the underdog, as they are 66-65 against the run line in those games. They are 34-30 against the run line at home, where they have a run differential of -0.8 runs per game. Their overall run differential is -1.6 runs per game, and they have gone over the run line in 66 of their 133 games this season.

The Rockies have an over/under record of 67-63 this season, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the line has been set at 11 runs, they have gone 6-6-1. This season, 11 runs has been the over/under line in 13.4% of their games.

Kyle Freeland will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Yankees, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Freeland has made 15 starts and has a record of 3-6. His ERA for the season is 5.70, along with a WHIP of 1.49. Opposing batters have a batting average of .290 off Freeland this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.06 strikeouts and 2.62 walks. For the year, Freeland has allowed 13 home runs. At home, his ERA is 4.29 compared to 10.94 on the road.

Colorado’s offense has been one of the league’s best home teams this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game at Coors Field. Overall, they are 19th in the league at 4.2 runs per contest. The Rockies have been a good team at putting the ball in play this season, as they have the league’s 3rd best BABIP at .31.

Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, and Michael Toglia are all tied for the team lead with 21 home runs this season. Tovar comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last six games. For the season, Tovar is batting .274, which is the best mark among the team’s regulars.