New York Jets vs New England Patriots Betting Pick & Prediction 10/27/24
The Patriots are the underdog at +268 on the money line as they host the Jets at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 27th at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. The Jets are favored by -7 on the road in this week eight AFC East matchup. The over/under line is set at 41.5 points, with the Jets favored on the money line at -339. You can watch this one on CBS.
NEW YORK JETS VS NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New England Patriots +7
This game will be played at Gillette Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 27th.
WHY BET THE NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS:
- We have the Patriots winning this one by a score of 22 to 13
- Not only do we have the Patriots winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7
- We see this game finishing below the line of 41.5 points
Will The Jets Win As Road Favorites?
After a week 3 win over the Patriots, the Jets have now dropped four straight, including a 37-15 loss to the Steelers in week 7. New York was favored by 2.5 points in that game but couldn’t get the win, leaving them at 2-5 this season. They currently rank 14th in our NFL power rankings and have a 29% chance of making the playoffs.
Against the spread, the Jets are 2-5 and have failed to cover in four consecutive games. Their O/U record stands at 3-3-1, with the over hitting in their last two games.
Heading into week 8, the Jets are 24th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 21st in the NFL in points per game (18.3) and 23rd in yards per game (307). New York has been pass-heavy, ranking 3rd in pass attempts per game, while sitting 11th in passing yards. On the ground, they rank 30th in rushing attempts and 29th in rushing yards per game.
In week 7, the Jets scored 15 points in a loss to the Steelers, with all of their scoring coming in the first half. Aaron Rodgers threw for 276 yards, with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Breece Hall had 38 rushing yards on 12 carries and led the team in receiving with 103 yards on 6 catches.
In their 37-15 loss to the Steelers, the Jets’ defense gave up 409 total yards and allowed Pittsburgh to convert 64.3% of their third downs. New York’s run defense allowed 149 yards on 36 attempts, while in the passing game, they gave up 260 yards on just 16 completions. The Jets also allowed two passing touchdowns and managed only one sack in the game.
Despite holding the Steelers to a 35.7% third-down conversion rate, the Jets struggled to get off the field and were hurt by big plays, as Pittsburgh averaged 9 yards per passing attempt. New York also had a tough time generating consistent pressure, losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.
Are The Patriots Going Win In At Upset At Gillette Stadium
Heading into week 8, the Patriots are on a six-game losing streak, including a 32-16 road loss to the Jaguars in week 7. This puts New England at 1-6, with their only win coming in week 1 against the Bengals. After that, they dropped three straight home games, including a 41-21 loss to the Texans in week 6. The Patriots are 0-3 at home and 1-3 on the road, leaving them last in the AFC East and 16th in the conference.
Our power rankings have the Patriots 32nd, and they have just a 0.4% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, New England is 1-5-1, with all of their games coming as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is -10.9 points per game. Their O/U record is 4-3, with the over hitting in their last two games.
Heading into week 8, the Patriots rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 14.1, and 30th in total yards per game with 262.9. New England is 17th in passing attempts, but 31st in passing yards, averaging 151.9 per game. On the ground, they rank 24th in rushing attempts and 21st in rushing yards, with 111 per game. The Patriots are converting 33.3% of their 3rd-down attempts, which ranks 26th in the league, but they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 75% of their opportunities, good for 4th in the NFL.
Drake Maye threw for 276 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 7, completing 26 of 37 passes without an interception. Tight end Hunter Henry led the team with 8 catches for 92 yards. New England struggled to run the ball, totaling just 38 yards on 15 carries. They scored 16 points in the loss, with 7 in the 1st quarter and 6 in the 4th.
In their 32-16 loss to the Jaguars, the Patriots’ defense allowed 171 rushing yards on 39 attempts. Despite giving up some yards on the ground, they held the Jaguars to 193 yards passing and just one passing touchdown. New England’s defense struggled to get off the field, as the Jaguars converted on 60% of their third down attempts. The Patriots didn’t record any sacks and had a tackles for loss differential of -3.
New England’s defense gave up some big plays in the running game, leading to 364 total yards for the Jaguars. However, they did limit Jacksonville to 9.6 yards per attempt through the air, and the Jaguars finished with a completion percentage of 75%. Going forward, the Patriots will look to improve their run defense and generate more pressure on the quarterback.