New York Giants vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

FOX will broadcast the week 16 matchup between the Giants and Falcons, taking place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 22nd. The Falcons are heavily favored, with their money line at -512 compared to the Giants at +378. The Falcons are -9.5 point favorites, and the over/under line is at 41.5 points.
NEW YORK GIANTS VS ATLANTA FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Giants +9.5
This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 22nd.
WHY BET THE NEW YORK GIANTS:
- We have the Giants winning this one by a score of 23 to 21
- Not only do we have the Giants winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +9.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points
Will The Giants Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Heading into week 16 against the Falcons, the Giants are on a nine-game losing streak, dropping them to 2-12 on the season. This includes an 0-8 record at home, but they have managed two road wins. New York is 0-5 in the NFC East and 1-9 in conference play, leaving them 4th in the division and 16th in the NFC.
Our power rankings have the Giants 31st, and they have a -8.6 scoring margin. Against the spread, they are 4-10, with all four of their ATS wins coming as underdogs. Their O/U record is 5-9, with their games averaging 38.3 points compared to an average line of 41.6.
Heading into week 16, the Giants are 29th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 14.9 points per game. They rank 28th in the NFL with 296.4 passing yards per game, despite being 6th in passing attempts (35.7 per game). New York is 17th in rushing yards, averaging 111.3 per game on 25.4 attempts. On 3rd down, they rank 26th, converting 34.7% of their attempts, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 2nd in the league with a 47.4% conversion rate.
In week 15, the Giants scored 14 points in a loss to the Ravens, with 7 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters. Tim Boyle threw for 123 yards (12/24) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Malik Nabers led the team with 10 catches for 82 yards, and Tyrone Tracy Jr. had 31 rushing yards on 10 carries. New York struggled on 3rd down, converting just 2 of 12 attempts, but they scored on 1 of their 2 red zone trips.
In their 35-14 loss to the Ravens, the Giants’ defense gave up five passing touchdowns and allowed Baltimore to complete 84% of their passes. The Giants allowed 275 passing yards and struggled to get off the field, as the Ravens converted on 81.8% of their third down attempts. Overall, the Giants gave up 445 total yards, including 170 yards on the ground (5.5 yards per attempt).
Despite the tough day, the Giants did manage to sack the quarterback three times and had three tackles for loss in the game.
Are The Falcons Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
After snapping a four-game losing streak with a 15-9 win over the Raiders in week 15, the Falcons are now 7-7 this season. Atlanta is 4-1 in division play and 6-3 against NFC opponents, putting them 2nd in the NFC South. They have a 28.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 20.3% chance of winning the division. Our power rankings have the Falcons 19th heading into week 16.
Atlanta has an average scoring margin of -3.5 points per game and is 5-8-1 against the spread. They are 4-4-1 as favorites and 1-4 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 5-9, with their games averaging 45.4 points compared to an average line of 46.3.
Our NFL.com offensive power rankings have the Falcons sitting 13th heading into week 16. They are 18th in the league in points per game, averaging 20.9, and rank 9th in total yards per game with 363.1. Atlanta’s passing game has been strong, with Kirk Cousins leading the way. The Falcons are 6th in passing yards per game (238.9) and 14th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 11th in rushing yards per game (124.2) on 28.3 attempts per game, which is 6th in the NFL.
In week 15, Cousins threw for 112 yards and a touchdown, completing 11 of 17 passes. Bijan Robinson rushed for 125 yards on 22 carries, and Drake London had 3 catches for 53 yards and a touchdown. Atlanta scored 7 points in the first quarter and added 2 in the second, 3 in the third, and 3 in the fourth. They converted 4 of 13 third-down attempts in week 15.
Despite giving up 184 passing yards, the Falcons’ defense played well in their most recent game against the Raiders, coming out with a 15-9 win. They limited Las Vegas to just 65 rushing yards on 22 attempts. Atlanta’s defense also forced two interceptions and held the Raiders to a 28.6% conversion rate on third down.
Atlanta’s defense recorded four sacks in the game and held the Raiders to just one touchdown. The Falcons also defended the pass effectively, allowing only 4.7 yards per attempt.