New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick & Prediction 10/7/24
The Saints and Chiefs will face off on Monday, October 7th at 8:15 ET on ESPN. The Chiefs are favored on the money line at -227 and are -5 point favorites on the road. This week five non-conference matchup is being played at Arrowhead Stadium, and the over/under line is set at 42.5 points.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS VS KANSAS CITY CHIEFS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -5
This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium at 8:15 ET on Monday, October 7th.
WHY BET THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS:
- We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 22 to 13
- Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points
Will The Saints Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Despite a late touchdown from Alvin Kamara, the Saints fell to the Falcons 26-24, bringing their season record to 2-2. New Orleans went into the game as +2.5 point underdogs and their loss came by just two points. The combined 50 points exceeded the over/under line of 42.5 points.
After Kamara’s 1-yard touchdown run with 29 seconds left in the 4th quarter, the Saints were down 23-24. However, the Falcons’ Younghoe Koo sealed the win with a 58-yard field goal with 7 seconds remaining. Taysom Hill scored twice for the Saints, with two rushing touchdowns in the 1st and 2nd quarters.
Despite the Saints’ 26-24 loss to the Falcons, Alvin Kamara had a decent game, rushing for 77 yards on 19 carries and adding 42 yards on 7 receptions. New Orleans’ offense picked up 25 first downs and gained 315 total yards. Derek Carr completed 77% of his passes for 239 yards, but he didn’t throw any touchdowns, and the offense as a whole failed to score through the air.
Chris Olave led the Saints with 87 receiving yards on 8 catches. The Saints’ running game averaged 4 yards per attempt, and they converted on 53.8% of their third down attempts. However, the offense took one sack and couldn’t find the endzone through the passing game.
In their 26-24 loss to the Falcons, the Saints’ defense gave up 227 passing yards and 88 rushing yards on just 15 attempts. They held the Falcons to a 36.4% third-down conversion rate and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns, but did come up with one interception. New Orleans allowed just 60% of passes to be completed against them.
The Saints’ defense managed only one sack in the game and had a tackles for loss differential of -2. Despite this, they kept the Falcons out of the endzone through the air and limited them to 315 total yards.
Are The Chiefs Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
After falling behind 10-0 in their most recent game against the Chargers, the Chiefs rallied to score 17 unanswered points and remain undefeated with a 17-10 win. The Chiefs are now 4-0 on the season, but they had to come from behind in this one, as Ladd McConkey caught a touchdown pass from Justin Herbert early to give the Chargers a 7-0 lead, followed by a Cameron Dicker field goal.
Xavier Worthy’s touchdown reception from Patrick Mahomes in the 2nd quarter brought the Chiefs within 10-7, and a Harrison Butker field goal tied the game at 10 heading into the 4th. In the 4th quarter, Samaje Perine’s 2-yard touchdown run sealed the comeback for Kansas City.
Patrick Mahomes threw for 245 yards on 19 completions in the Chiefs’ 17-10 win over the Chargers. Mahomes’ lone touchdown pass went to Travis Kelce, who led the team with 89 yards receiving. Mahomes was sacked three times and threw one interception.
Kansas City’s offense managed just 16 first downs and 101 rushing yards on 26 attempts. Mahomes completed 65.5% of his passes and the Chiefs converted 56.2% of their third down attempts.
In their most recent game, the Chiefs’ defense allowed just 169 passing yards on 16 completions to the Chargers. They also held the Chargers to just 55 yards rushing on 24 attempts. The Chiefs’ defense was tough on third downs, allowing only a 30.8% conversion rate and giving up just one touchdown in their 17-10 win. They also finished with two sacks and held the Chargers to 224 total yards.
The Chiefs’ defense made life difficult for the Chargers, limiting them to 6.3 yards per attempt in the passing game. Additionally, Kansas City defended the run well, allowing only 2.3 yards per attempt. The Chiefs also had a good day in the trenches, finishing with six more quarterback hits than the Chargers and three more tackles for loss.