New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24

At 4:00 ET, truT will be televising the New Mexico Lobos vs. Utah State Aggies matchup, taking place at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Logan. The over/under line is currently at 78.5 points. The Lobos are 2-4 this season, and the Aggies are 1-5. The Lobos are -2.5 point favorites on the road. The game is set for Saturday, October 19th.

NEW MEXICO LOBOS VS UTAH STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Utah State Aggies +2.5

This game will be played at Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium at 4:00 ET on Saturday, October 19th.

WHY BET THE UTAH STATE AGGIES:

• We have the New Mexico Lobos winning this one by a score of 38 to 36
• Even though we like the New Mexico Lobos to win, our ATS pick is to take the Utah State Aggies at +2.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 78.5 points

Will The New Mexico Lobos Pick Up A Win On The Road?

New Mexico enters Week 8 against Utah State with a 2-4 record, ranking 118th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 19.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Lobos are 1-1 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.

New Mexico is 2-0 as the favorite and 0-3 as the underdog, with an average scoring margin of -7.3 points per game. Against the spread, they are 3-2, going 2-0 as the favorite and 1-2 as the underdog.

Their over/under record is 4-1, with an average line of 57.8 points. This week’s line is set at 78.5 points, with four of their games having exceeded this total and five falling below it.

Heading into week 8, New Mexico’s offense is averaging 35.3 points per game, ranking 21st nationally, and they are 25th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is strong, with 210 rushing yards per game.

Devon Dampier has thrown for 1,488 yards, leading the passing attack, but he has 6 interceptions to go with 7 touchdowns and a passer rating of 79. The Lobos are 24th in passing attempts per game. Luke Wysong has 507 receiving yards on 40 catches.

New Mexico’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 42.7 points per game. In their recent game against Air Force, they gave up 37 points, including 327 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns. Air Force ran the ball 62 times, while New Mexico allowed 149 passing yards and one passing touchdown.

Opponents are averaging 257.2 rushing yards per game against New Mexico, while quarterbacks have posted a 116.4 passer rating, completing 62.3% of their passes. The Lobos rank 114th nationally, giving up 242 passing yards per game.

Will The Utah State Aggies Win At Home Over The New Mexico Lobos?

Utah State enters Week 8 with a 1-5 record, ranked 120th in our CFB power rankings. They have just a 2.8% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. At home, the Aggies are 0-2, and they’ve been favored in only one game this season.

Their ATS record stands at 2-3, with a perfect 2-0 mark at home. Utah State’s average scoring margin is -17.8 points per game, and they’ve gone 4-1 against the over/under line.

This week’s over/under line is 78.5 points, higher than any other game. Utah State’s games have averaged 67.8 points, with an average line of 58.9 points.

Utah State’s offense is averaging 25 points per game heading into week 8, placing them 61st in the nation. They rank 100th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is 36.3%, and their passer rating is 86, both of which are outside the top 75 nationally.

Spencer Petras leads the passing game with 1,271 yards and a 65.4% completion rate. The Aggies are 8th in passing attempts per game, averaging 302.8 yards through the air. Petras has thrown nine touchdowns and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 93. Jalen Royals has 646 receiving yards and five touchdowns this season. On the ground, Utah State averages 163.5 rushing yards per game, with Rahsul Faison contributing 587 yards.

Utah State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 42.8 points per game. In their recent game against UNLV, they gave up 50 points, surrendering 548 total yards, including 315 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 261 passing yards per game against Utah State, completing 69.2% of their passes. The defense has also allowed 235 rushing yards per game this season.