Nevada Wolf Pack vs UNLV Rebels Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24
UNLV comes into this week 14 matchup vs. Nevada as the heavy favorite, with the point spread sitting at -17.5 in their favor. Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, with CBSS handling the television broadcast. The over/under line is at 55.5 points. The money line odds have UNLV at -983 and Nevada at +628. UNLV has a 9-2 record this season, while Nevada is 3-9 overall.
NEVADA WOLF PACK VS UNLV REBELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UNLV Rebels -17.5
This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, November 30th.
WHY BET THE UNLV REBELS:
- We have the UNLV Rebels winning this one by a score of 43 to 20
- Not only do we have the UNLV Rebels winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -17.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 55.5 points
Will The Nevada Wolf Pack Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Nevada enters Week 14 against UNLV with a 3-9 record and is ranked 103rd in our CFB power rankings. They have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Wolf Pack is 1-5 at home and 1-4 on the road this season.
Nevada’s ATS record is 5-5-1, and they’ve been favored in just one game this year. Their average scoring margin is -4.2 points per game, and they are 5-3-1 against the spread as underdogs.
The over/under line for this week is 55.5 points. Nevada’s games have averaged 51.8 points, with an average line of 49.2 points. Their over/under record is 5-6 for the season.
Nevada’s offense is averaging 23.8 points per game heading into week 14, placing them 78th in the nation. They are ranked 73rd in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is their strength, with 172.7 rushing yards per game on 35.9 attempts.
Savion Red leads the team with 683 rushing yards, eight touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Brendon Lewis has thrown for 1,998 yards, 14 touchdowns, and six interceptions. Nevada ranks 18th in third-down conversions, converting 46.2% of their attempts.
Nevada’s defense has allowed 28 points per game this season, ranking 79th nationally. They’ve given up 183.3 rushing yards per game, placing them 133rd, while allowing 201.2 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a 74.2 passer rating and a 55.1% completion rate against Nevada’s defense.
In their recent game against Air Force, Nevada allowed 22 points and 319 rushing yards on 66 attempts, but didn’t give up any passing yards, forcing just three pass attempts and grabbing one interception.
Are The UNLV Rebels Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
UNLV enters Week 14 with a 9-2 record, and they are 100% bowl-eligible. They have a 29.7% chance of winning the Mountain West and hold the 19th best odds to make the playoff at 16.2%. The Rebels are 6-0 on the road and 2-1 at home this season.
UNLV’s ATS record stands at 5-4, with a +16 average scoring margin. They are 4-2 against the spread on the road and 1-2 at home. As favorites, they are 3-3 ATS this season.
Their over/under record is 4-5, with an average line of 57.6 points. UNLV games average 61.5 points, and this week’s line is set at 55.5 points.
UNLV’s offense has been one of the best in the country this season, ranking 8th in scoring with 38.7 points per game. They are also 5th in rushing, averaging 250.7 yards per game on the ground, and 4th in rushing attempts, with 44.6 per game. Our offensive power rankings place them 44th heading into this week.
Hajj-Malik Williams leads the team with 1,567 passing yards and a passer rating of 108. He has thrown 15 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Jai’Den Thomas is the leading rusher with 698 yards, and Ricky White III has 965 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns.
UNLV’s defense was dominant in their recent 27-16 win over San Jose State, allowing just 16 points and 114 total yards. They held the Spartans to 33 rushing yards on 24 attempts and gave up just 81 passing yards, with San Jose State completing only 4 of 22 passes.
On the season, UNLV ranks 16th nationally in rushing yards allowed, giving up just 104.8 yards per game. Opponents have averaged a 53.3% completion rate against UNLV, which is the 12th-lowest in the country.