Navy Midshipmen vs Rice Owls Betting Pick & Prediction 11/2/24
ESPN2 will be covering the week 10 matchup between the Navy Midshipmen and Rice Owls, set to kick off at 4:00 ET from Rice Stadium in Houston. Navy comes in with a 6-1 record, while Rice is looking to improve on their 2-6 season. The Midshipmen are favored by -12.5 points, with the over/under line currently at 51.5 points.
NAVY MIDSHIPMEN VS RICE OWLS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Navy Midshipmen -12.5
This game will be played at Rice Stadium at 4:00 ET on Saturday, November 2nd.
WHY BET THE NAVY MIDSHIPMEN:
- We have the Navy Midshipmen winning this one by a score of 31 to 17
- Not only do we have the Navy Midshipmen winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -12.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 51.5 points
Will The Navy Midshipmen Win As Road Favorites?
Navy enters Week 10 with a 6-1 record and a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. They are ranked 68th in our power rankings and have an 8% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference. On the road, they are 2-0, while their home record stands at 3-1.
Against the spread, Navy is 5-1, with a perfect 4-0 mark as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +16.3 points per game, and they are 2-0 ATS on the road and 3-1 at home.
Navy’s over/under record is 6-0, with their games averaging 64.6 points. This week’s line is set at 51.5, compared to their average line of 48.5 points.
Navy’s offense ranks 6th in our power rankings heading into week 10, and they are 9th in scoring, averaging 40.4 points per game. Their rushing attack is their strength, with 268.3 yards per game on 44.9 attempts, placing them 5th in the nation.
Blake Horvath leads the passing game with 976 yards and a passer rating of 131. Navy ranks 4th nationally in passer rating. Horvath has thrown 10 touchdowns to just 2 interceptions, completing 62.4% of his passes.
Navy’s defense is ranked 37th nationally, allowing 24.1 points per game. They’ve given up 221.3 passing yards per game (90th) and 180.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 129th. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 56% of their passes against Navy, the 27th-lowest completion rate in the country.
In their last game, a 51-14 loss to Notre Dame, Navy’s defense allowed 51 points and 466 total yards. Notre Dame rushed for 265 yards on 40 carries and threw for 201 yards, completing 15 of 25 passes. Navy’s defense also allowed six total touchdowns in the game.
Are The Rice Owls Going Win In At Upset At Rice Stadium
Rice comes into Week 10 with a 2-6 record, facing Navy at home. They are ranked 105th in our power rankings, and their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are just 2.5% for the rest of the season.
The Owls have been favored in two games this season but have lost both, going 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -3.4 points per game, and they are 2-5 against the spread.
Rice’s over/under record is 2-5, with their games averaging 46.6 points. This week’s line is set at 51.5 points, higher than their average line of 48.1 points this season.
Rice’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.6 points per game, which ranks 81st in the nation. They are 120th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Their third-down conversion rate is low, at 32.4%, and their rushing game has been limited, with 113.5 yards per game on the ground.
Quarterback E.J. Warner has thrown for 1,573 yards, completing 60.7% of his passes. He has 10 touchdowns but also 9 interceptions, and his passer rating is 76. Rice ranks 15th in passing attempts per game. Dean Connors leads the rushing attack with 518 yards and six touchdowns. Matt Sykes has 489 receiving yards on 41 catches.
Rice’s defense has been a mixed bag this season, ranking 14th nationally in passing yards allowed at just 164.1 yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed only 54.8% of their passes against Rice, the 21st-lowest rate in the country. However, the Owls have struggled against the run, giving up 161.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 104th in the nation.
In their recent 17-10 loss to UConn, Rice allowed 312 total yards, including 184 rushing yards on 43 attempts. The defense did manage to hold UConn’s passing game to 128 yards and came up with one interception.