National Bank Open
The 2024 Canadian Open, or National Bank Open for sponsorship purposes, is an ATP/WTA 1000 tournament taking place in two major Canadian cities. The women’s draw is in Toronto and the men’s draw is in Montreal. It’s one of the oldest tournaments in the world and, as a mandatory 1000 event, has a loaded field with the majority of the world’s top players, minus Olympic gold medal final participants Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz.
There have also been a few delays due to weather, so there are still some Round of 32 matches to be played as of Friday. Here’s a look at what to expect for the remainder of the tournament this weekend.
ATP National Bank Open Outright Odds
Jannik Sinner -138
Alexander Zverev +450
Andrey Rublev +1100
Grigor Dimitrov +1400
Holger Rune +1800
Taylor Fritz +1800
Casper Ruud +2000
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +2500
Hubert Hurkacz +2800
Nuno Borges +2800
Early Rounds Recap
Defending champion Jannik Sinner made quick work of his second-round opponent Borna Coric, beating him 6-2, 6-4, and now faces Alejandro Tabilo in the third round. Other top seeds like Alexander Zverev, Casper Ruud, and Andrey Rublev are into the Round of 16, although there have been a few notable upsets already.
Daniil Medvedev, the third seed, lost in three sets to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, while eighth seed Stefanos Tsitsipas lost in the second round to Kei Nishikori, who used a protected ranking to enter the draw. Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime, who finished fourth in the Olympics, also lost his opening match in Toronto. Americans Tommy Paul and Ben Shelton are also out.
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Upcoming Matches
Alexander Zverev (-305) vs. Holger Rune (+230)
Holger Rune is a young player who has been on the cusp of winning major tournaments for more than a year now, but hasn’t been able to establish himself on the same level as players like his opponent Alexander Zverev, Sinner, and Alcaraz. There’s a real opportunity for an upset in this match, however, as Zverev has rarely taken time off this season and should start feeling fatigued at some point.
Zverev, however, looked dominant in his 6-1, 6-1 win over Jordan Thompson. Rune survived a first-round scare against Roberto Bautista Agut and followed that up with an impressive 6-1, 6-3 win over Pablo Carreno Busta. Rune is 1-1 in two career matches against Zverev but they have never played on hard courts, where Rune is 12-5 this year after going just 10-10 last year and 8-9 the year prior.
Brandon Nakashima (+150) vs. Andrey Rublev (-180)
Rublev has had some frustrating moments this year, but he is better than what the odds for this match suggest and should prevail against Brandon Nakashima. The American beat Rublev earlier this season on clay courts, but Rublev beat Nakashima 6-2, 6-1 in their only meeting on hard courts. They’re both 16-6 on hard courts this season, although Rublev has victories over better players.
Final Prediction
It’s hard to see anyone but Sinner winning in Toronto. He’s the defending champion, has only lost one match this year against players not named Carlos Alcaraz, and has a favorable draw with Rublev/Nakashima as potential quarter-final opponents and one of Davidovich Fokina/Matteo Arnaldi/Nuno Borges/Nishikori in the semis. Rune is a good pick to win the bottom half of the bracket, but he won’t be able to contend with Sinner.
Pick: Sinner def. Rune