Missouri Tigers vs Memphis Tigers NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/4/24
The Tigers and Tigers are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Tigers will host the game at FedExForum in Memphis, TN. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 155 points, and Memphis is favored by -4.5 vs. Missouri.
MISSOURI TIGERS VS MEMPHIS TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Missouri Tigers +4.5
This game will be played at FedExForum at 8:00 ET on Monday, November 4th.
WHY BET THE MISSOURI TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-66 in favor of the Tigers.
- Not only will Memphis pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 155 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Will the Tigers Make it Happen in Memphis?
Missouri Tigers Records
Missouri finished last season with an 8-24 record, including a 0-19 mark in SEC play. At home, the Tigers went 6-13, while they were 2-11 on the road.
Against the spread, Missouri was 9-23, with a 7-6 record in road games. They were 3-11 as the favorite and 6-12 as the underdog. Their over/under record was 17-15, with an average O/U line of 148.2 points per game.
Last season, Missouri averaged 72.2 points per game, ranking 245th in possessions per game with 66.4. They shot 43% from the field, placing 267th in field goal percentage, and their effective field goal percentage was 50%, ranking 252nd. The Tigers made 7.3 three-pointers per game, shooting 32% from beyond the arc, which ranked 336th. They attempted 22.8 threes per game, ranking 145th in attempts.
Returning for Missouri are Marques Warrick and Jacob Crews. Warrick averaged 20 points, 2.4 assists, and 2.5 rebounds per game last season. Crews contributed 19.1 points and 8.2 rebounds per game. Both players will be key for the Tigers this season.
Last season, Missouri struggled defensively, allowing 76.2 points per game, which ranked 277th in the nation. Opponents shot 34.7% from beyond the arc against them, placing the Tigers 371st in 3-point percentage defense. They also gave up 24.1 free throw attempts per game, ranking 324th in that category.
However, Missouri was more effective in creating turnovers, averaging 7.6 steals per game, which ranked 72nd nationally. They also averaged 4.8 blocked shots per game, ranking 29th in the country.
Does Memphis Stand a Chance at Home?
Memphis Tigers Records
Memphis finished last season with a 22-10 record, going 11-8 in AAC play. At home, they posted a 14-3 mark, winning by an average of 8.1 points per game. On the road, they were 8-7 with a +1.0 scoring margin.
Against the spread, the Tigers went 12-20, including a 9-15 record as the favorite. Their average over/under line was 152.2 points, and they had a 17-14-1 O/U record, with their games averaging 156.2 points per game.
Memphis averaged 80.5 points per game last season, ranking 4th in possessions per game with 70.5. They shot 46% from the field, placing 118th, and had a 52% effective field goal percentage, ranking 106th. The Tigers made 8.3 three-pointers per game on 35% shooting, ranking 97th in makes and 169th in percentage. They also averaged 16.1 free throws made per game, ranking 45th.
Point guard PJ Haggerty returns after averaging 21.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game last season. Colby Rogers also returns, having averaged 16.4 points and 3.5 rebounds per game.
Last season, Memphis struggled defensively, allowing 75.8 points per game, which ranked 265th in the nation. Opponents shot 34.2% from three-point range against them, placing the Tigers 352nd in three-point percentage defense. They also allowed 18.5 free throws per game, ranking 180th nationally.
However, Memphis excelled in creating turnovers, averaging 8.6 steals per game, which ranked 31st in the country. They also averaged 4.5 blocked shots per game, ranking 44th nationally.