Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs Iowa State Cyclones NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/4/24

Looking to win big? The Delta Devils and Cyclones face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Cyclones are hosting the game at Hilton Coliseum in Ames, IA. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Iowa State as the -45.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 132 points.

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE DELTA DEVILS VS IOWA STATE CYCLONES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils +45.5

This game will be played at Hilton Coliseum at 8:00 ET on Monday, November 4th.

WHY BET THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE DELTA DEVILS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Cyclones.
  • Even though we have Iowa State winning straight-up, we like Mississippi Valley State at +45.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can The Delta Devils Secure a Win at Ames?

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Records

Last season, Mississippi Valley State finished with a 1-29 overall record, including a 1-16 mark in SWAC play. Their lone win came at home, where they went 1-7, but they struggled on the road, going 0-22.

Against the spread, the Delta Devils were 11-19, all as the underdog. They were 10-12 ATS on the road and 1-7 at home. Their games averaged 134.1 points, and their over/under record was 14-16.

Mississippi Valley State averaged 55.5 points per game last season, ranking 306th in possessions per game with 64.2. They struggled with shooting, finishing 400th in field goal percentage at 38% and 405th in effective field goal percentage at 42%. Their two-point percentage was 41%, placing 401st nationally.

The Delta Devils made 4.6 three-pointers per game, shooting 29% from beyond the arc, ranking 397th in three-point percentage. They attempted 15.8 threes per game. Donovan Sanders, who averaged 10.5 points, 2.8 assists, and 3 rebounds per game, is their top returning player.

Mississippi Valley State struggled defensively last season, allowing 77.7 points per game, which ranked 305th in the nation. Opponents shot 37.5% from three-point range against them, placing the Delta Devils 449th in three-point defense. They also committed a lot of fouls, allowing 22.9 free throws per game, ranking 313th.

On the positive side, Mississippi Valley State averaged 6.6 steals per game, ranking 167th nationally. However, they were among the worst in blocked shots, averaging just 2.3 per game, which ranked 336th.

Does Iowa State Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

Iowa State Cyclones Records

The Cyclones finished last season with a 27-7 record, going 16-5 in Big 12 play. At home, they were dominant, posting a 20-1 record with an average scoring margin of +21.9 points per game. On the road, they were 7-6, with a +1.9 average scoring margin.

Against the spread, Iowa State went 22-10, including a 15-5 mark at home. They were favored in 25 games, going 22-3 straight-up and 16-8 ATS. Their average over/under line was 137.6 points, and their games averaged 136.9 points per game. Their O/U record was 16-18.

Last season, Iowa State averaged 75.6 points per game, ranking 331st in possessions per game with 64.4. They shot 46% from the field, placing 105th, and had an effective field goal percentage of 51%, ranking 157th. The Cyclones made 6.5 three-pointers per game, shooting 34% from beyond the arc, and attempted 18.7 threes per game, ranking 305th in attempts. They also made 14.7 free throws per game, ranking 119th.

Returning players Keshon Gilbert and Nate Heise will be key for Iowa State this season. Gilbert averaged 13.8 points, 4.3 assists, and 4.5 rebounds per game last year, while Heise contributed 13.5 points, 2.4 assists, and 6.1 rebounds per game.

Iowa State was one of the best defensive teams in the country last season, allowing just 61.3 points per game, which ranked 5th in the nation. They were also among the best in steals, averaging 10.4 per game, placing them 2nd in that category. However, they struggled to defend the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot 31.2% from beyond the arc, ranking 152nd in the country.

The Cyclones averaged 3.1 blocks per game, ranking 236th nationally. They also allowed 18.1 free throws per game, placing them 158th in that category.