Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/24
Heading into this week 14 matchup, the Ole Miss Rebels are favored by -26.5 points as they host the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET, and the game can be seen on ABC. The over/under line is currently at 61.5 points. The Rebels are looking to add to their 8-3 record, while Mississippi State has just two wins this season.
MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS VS OLE MISS REBELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Ole Miss Rebels -26.5
This game will be played at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at 3:30 ET on Friday, November 29th.
WHY BET THE OLE MISS REBELS:
- We have the Ole Miss Rebels winning this one by a score of 43 to 16
- Not only do we have the Ole Miss Rebels winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -26.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 61.5 points
Will The Mississippi State Bulldogs Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Mississippi State heads into Week 14 against Ole Miss with a 2-9 record, ranked 70th in our power rankings. They are out of bowl contention, with a 1-5 record at home and 0-4 on the road this season.
The Bulldogs have been favored in just two games, going 1-1 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -7.9 points per game, and they are 5-5 against the spread, covering three of four road games.
This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points, higher than their season average line of 57.4. Mississippi State’s over/under record stands at 7-3, with their games averaging 61.7 points.
Heading into week 14, Mississippi State’s offense ranks 61st in scoring, averaging 26.9 points per game. They are 55th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is 55th nationally, with 234.5 yards per game, and they average 30.4 attempts per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 37.9%, ranking 84th.
Michael Van Buren Jr. leads the Bulldogs with 1,606 passing yards, 10 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 83. Davon Booth has rushed for 721 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored five touchdowns. Kevin Coleman Jr. has 814 receiving yards and five touchdowns this season.
Mississippi State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.8 points per game. In their recent game against Missouri, they gave up 39 points and 475 total yards, including 207 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. Missouri also threw for 268 yards and one passing touchdown.
Opponents have averaged 216.1 rushing yards per game against Mississippi State, while quarterbacks have posted a 107.9 passer rating, completing 70.6% of their passes. Mississippi State’s defense has faced an average of 28.8 pass attempts per game this season.
Are The Ole Miss Rebels Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
With an 8-3 record, Ole Miss is preparing to face Mississippi State in Week 14. They are 4-1 at home this season and rank 6th in our power rankings. The Rebels are already bowl-eligible, but they have a 6.2% chance of making the CFB playoff.
Ole Miss has been favored in eight of their 11 games, going 6-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +24.6 points per game, and they have a 6-3 record against the spread.
The over/under line for this week is 61.5 points. Ole Miss games have averaged a total of 52.5 points, with their over/under record at 1-8 and an average line of 58 points.
Heading into week 14, Ole Miss boasts the top passing attack in college football, averaging 361.8 yards per game. They are ranked 9th in scoring, with 38.5 points per game, and we have them 8th in our offensive power rankings. Jaxson Dart has thrown for 3,732 yards, completing 69.3% of his passes, with 24 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. His passer rating is 121.
Ole Miss ranks 21st in passing completions and 33rd in attempts. They are 12th in completion percentage. On the ground, they average 171.5 rushing yards per game. Henry Parrish Jr. leads the rushing attack with 678 yards and 10 touchdowns. Tre Harris has 1,030 receiving yards on 60 catches, with 7 touchdowns.
Ole Miss’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 6th nationally by allowing just 13.9 points per game. They’ve also been effective against the run, giving up only 90 rushing yards per game, which is the 6th-lowest in the country.
In their recent game against Florida, Ole Miss allowed 24 points, surrendering 165 rushing yards on 44 attempts and 180 passing yards. The defense also forced one interception during the game.