Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 6/30/24

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Twins and Mariners facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 4:10 PM ET. RSNW will be televising this one, and the money line odds have the Twins at -115 compared to the Mariners at -103.

The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and Sunday’s starting pitching matchup features Joe Ryan for the Twins and Luis Castillo for the Mariners. Minnesota is 2nd in the AL Central, while the Mariners are 1st in the AL West.

SEATTLE MARINERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline -103

This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, June 30th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS MARINERS:

• We have the Mariners winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mariners to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Mariners by a score of 5-1. The Twins offense only had one more hit than the Mariners and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -120 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Pablo Lopez for the Twins and Bryce Miller for the Mariners. Lopez went six innings and gave up just one hit and one earned run, picking up a win in the game. On the other side, Miller lasted just five innings and gave up two earned runs, taking the loss.

Seattle’s only run came in the 3rd inning, as they were held in check for the rest of the game. As for the Twins, they scored one run in the 2nd and added three insurance runs in the 6th. Both teams went scoreless after that.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 46-37 overall, which has them seven games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins are 15-11 against other teams in the AL Central. This year, they are 23-16 at home compared to 23-21 on the road.

The Twins have won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 37-20 overall as the favorite this year. As the underdog, the Twins are 9-17 this year. So far, they have put together a series record of 15-9-2, and they have won two straight series overall. This includes having won two straight series on the road.

Minnesota has been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, with a 39-44 record. They have been especially good on the road, going 24-20 on the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.5 runs per game. They have been a good bet on the run line recently, covering in four straight games and in three straight games when favored.

The Minnesota Twins are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 39-42. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-10. Overall, 63.9% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Joe Ryan gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 3.31. Looking at his overall numbers, Ryan has a WHIP of .96 and has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Ryan finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone six innings without giving up more than one earned run in three straight starts. Ryan has been hurt by the long ball, as he has allowed 15 homers this season.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been two of the Twins’ top power threats this season, with Santana’s 12 homers being 2nd on the team and Jeffers’ 13 leading the club. Jeffers is also leading the Twins with 41 RBIs, while Santana is 3rd on the team at 39. Jeffers is also looking to extend his hitting streak, as he has gone 11/23 in his last six games, with four homers and 12 RBIs.

Overall, the Twins are 5th in home runs and are 7th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Twins are batting .249, which is 9th in the league, and are near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.

Mariners Records & Stats

Seattle is 47-38 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by 4.5 games over the Astros. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL West, going 17-5. The Mariners have dropped seven of their last ten games and are 2-4 so far in July.

At home, the Mariners are 28-13 this season, and they are just under .500 at 19-25 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 30-21, and they are an even 17-17 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-11-2, but they have dropped three straight series.

Seattle’s average run differential is +0.1 runs per game, and they are 40-45 on the run line this season. At home, they are 21-20 on the run line, with an average scoring margin of +0.8 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 21-30 on the run line, while as the underdog, they are 19-15. Their average run differential in wins is +3.0, while in losses, it is -3.5.

Seattle’s over/under record is 34-46 this season, and the average combined run average in their games is 7.6 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-15. Overall, 40.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 runs or higher, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. The under has hit in their last two games.

Luis Castillo will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays, as he gave up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a homer. Before that, he had pitched well, giving up two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Castillo’s record for the season is 6-9, and his ERA is 3.79. Out of his 17 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.03 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 14 homers.

Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season in terms of power, as he leads the team with 14 home runs, which is 12th in the league. However, he is batting just .202 overall and has gone 4/21 in his last six games. Julio Rodriguez is batting .248 for the season and has gone deep seven times. Mitch Garver is also in double digits in homers but has really struggled with a batting average of just .172.

As a team, the Mariners are averaging only 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and on-base percentage. Currently, they have three players on a hitting streak, with Jorge Polanco’s three-game streak being the longest.