Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 6/28/24
Seattle comes into this one with a record of 46-37 and will be looking to Logan Gilbert to the mound vs. a Twins club that is 45-36 and starting Bailey Ober. The money line odds have the Mariners at -128 compared to the Twins at +109. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 PM ET, and RSNW will be televising this one. Minnesota is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, while the Mariners are 1st in the AL West.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline +109
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Friday, June 28th.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS MARINERS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Twins Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Diamondbacks, the Twins closed out the series with a 13-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -115 on the money line. It was a six-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Diamondbacks could only score three runs, all of which came in the 4th.
David Festa got the start for the Twins, going five innings and giving up five earned runs on seven hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win. The Twins’s offense was carried by Byron Buxton, who went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Minnesota is 45-36 overall and trails the Guardians by seven games in the AL Central. The Twins head into today’s game on a two-game winning streak, and they are 2nd in the AL Central with a 15-11 division record. Minnesota closed out their series with the Diamondbacks with two straight wins and are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Twins have gone 23-16 this year, and they are just above .500 at 22-20 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 36-20 and 9-16 as the underdog. So far, they are 5-13 as the underdog on the road, and their overall series record is 15-9-2. Minnesota has won two straight series and two straight series on the road.
Minnesota’s run line record is 37-44 this season, with a scoring margin of 0.4 runs per game. They are 22-20 against the run line on the road, including covering in their last two road games. The Twins are 25-31 against the run line as the favorite and 12-13 as the underdog.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Twins games this season is 9.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 39-40, and their average over/under line for games is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-10. The over has hit in three straight games for the Twins.
Minnesota is sending right-hander Bailey Ober to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 7-4 with a 4.50 ERA. Ober’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he allowed just two earned runs in nine innings of work. Ober picked up the win in that outing vs. the Athletics. He has won each of his last two starts. Opponents are batting .233 vs. Ober this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.11 strikeouts and 2.2 walks.
Minnesota comes into today’s game as one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. The Twins have also been one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league this season, as they are 5th in the league in homers.
Carlos Santana has been a key power bat in the Twins lineup this season, as his 12 homers are 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. Ryan Jeffers is just ahead of him in the team’s home run race, and his 41 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Jeffers is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Byron Buxton has been hot of late, going 9/19 in his last five games, with three homers and eight RBIs.
Mariners Records & Stats
The Mariners’s offense was carried by Cal Raleigh in their most recent game vs. the Rays. Raleigh went only 1/2 but drove in three runs with a homer. The Mariners really broke things open with a three-run 6th inning. Seattle’s other big inning was the 3rd, when they scored three runs. Going into the game, the Mariners were the slight underdog at -108.
George Kirby started for the Athletics, going six innings and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had seven strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Seattle is hosting the Twins with an overall record of 46-37, which has them leading the AL West by 4.5 games. So far, they have been great against other teams in their division, going 17-5. The Mariners lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Rays.
At home, the Mariners are 27-12 this season compared to a 19-25 mark on the road. As the favorite, Seattle has gone 29-21 and 17-16 as the underdog. The Mariners have won three straight games at home, and their overall series record is 13-11-2. Looking at their overall record, the Mariners are 13-11-2.
Seattle is 21-18 against the run line at home this season and has covered in two straight games. The Mariners have an average run margin of +0.9 at home this season and are 40-43 overall against the run line. They have been the underdog in 33 of their games and have a run line record of 19-14 in those contests.
Seattle is 10-15 when the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners’ games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-44 overall. The O/U line for today’s game against the Twins is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average line of 8 runs per game this season. So far, 41.0% of Seattle’s games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Seattle starter Logan Gilbert has been pitching well this season and comes into the game with a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 2.71. He has made 16 starts this year and has pitched well at home, with an ERA of 2.8 compared to 3.65 on the road. Gilbert has made 13 quality starts this year and has a WHIP of .89. In his last outing, he went eight innings and didn’t give up a run, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight outings. Gilbert’s ERA for the month of June is 1.96.
Julio Rodriguez has been a bright spot in the Mariners lineup this season, batting .252 with seven home runs, which is 5th in the league. Cal Raleigh and Mitch Garver are the top two home run hitters for the Mariners, but both are batting under .205 for the season. Garver is 2nd on the team with 31 RBIs, and Raleigh’s 49 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 13th in the league.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Over their last eight games, Garver and Dylan Moore have each hit two home runs, but both have struggled in terms of batting average.