Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 7/29/24

The money line odds for Monday’s Twins vs. Mets interleague matchup have the Mets as the slight favorite at -121, while the Twins are sitting at +102. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the forecasted temperature is 85 degrees with broken clouds.

Jose Quintana will be starting for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Simeon Woods Richardson and the Twins. Minnesota is 58-46 overall, while the Mets are 55-50. This game will be televised on BSN.

NEW YORK METS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -121

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Monday, July 29th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS METS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Twins Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Tigers, the Twins closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -148. Offensively, the Twins scored their five runs on json12 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Bailey Ober put together a good start for the Twins, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out 11 Tigers batters. Willi Castro was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with two runs scored. The Twins also had three other players with two hits.

Minnesota is 58-46 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL Central, 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins head into today’s game vs. the Mets having gone 5-5 across their last ten. This season, they are 29-21 at home and have the same record on the road.

The Twins have been the favorite in most of their games, going 46-27 in those matchups. As the underdog, they are just 12-19 this season. Minnesota’s overall series record is 21-11-2, and they have won two straight series.

When the Twins are on the road, they have a run line record of 30-24, which is much better than their run line record at home (20-30). Their average run differential on the road is +0.5 runs per game, which is the same as their overall run differential for the season. They are 33-40 against the run line as the favorite and 17-14 as the underdog.

The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the New York Mets, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have had a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-49. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 13-14. So far this season, 12 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 11.5% of their games.

Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces his former team, the Mets. Through 17 starts, he has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 3.27. Woods Richardson has made six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that start vs. the Phillies, he went six innings, giving up three hits, and issuing one walk. He finished with five strikeouts in that outing. Woods Richardson has allowed a total of eight home runs this year.

So far this season, the Twins are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been a very consistent offense, as they are also 8th in home runs and have the 6th best team batting average in the league. As a team, they are also one of the league’s best in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 14 apiece, and Jeffers also leads the team with 48 RBIs. Carlos Correa is 2nd on the team in RBIs (47) and is batting .308 for the season. Max Kepler has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/30 in his last seven games.

Mets Records & Stats

Pete Alonso and the Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 9-2 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Braves scored four times in the 4th.

David Peterson took the loss for the Mets, going only five innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. He also issued three walks and hit a batter. The Mets’ offense scored their only two runs in the of the 5th and was held to just seven hits.

New York is 55-50 overall and trails the Phillies by 10 games in the NL East. The Mets lost the final two games of their series vs. the Braves and are 3rd in the division. So far, they are 20-16 in divisional games.

The Mets have been good on the road this year, going 27-22 compared to 28-28 at home. As the favorite, the Mets are 33-28 and 22-22 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 16-13-7, and they are currently in a new series vs. the Twins.

When the Mets are the underdog, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 27-17. Overall, they are 50-55 vs. the run line, and their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game. They have a losing run line streak at home, but they have been better vs. the run line on the road, going 27-22.

The Mets are playing at home against the Twins today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 56-46. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-11. The average over/under line for Mets games this season is 8 runs, and 22.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing, he picked up the win. Looking back further, Quintana has turned in a quality start in two of his last three outings. For the season, he has made 20 starts, and his ERA is 4.03. Opponents are batting .238 this season off Quintana. The left-hander’s record for the season is 5-6.

So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 5th best home run hitting team and have the 7th best slugging percentage in the league. As a team, the Mets are batting .248, which is 9th in the league.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Lindor leading the team with 22 homers and Alonso right behind him with 21. Lindor is batting .255 for the season and has gone 11/41 with five homers in his last 10 games. Jeff McNeil has also been hot of late, batting .343 with four homers in his last 10 games.