Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/7/24
At 7:15 PM ET, the Twins and Royals will face off in an AL Central matchup. This one is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 70s. Minnesota is 76-65, while the Royals are 77-65.
The money line odds have the Twins at -141 compared to the Royals at +120, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. FOX will be televising this one, and Saturday’s starting pitching matchup is Bailey Ober for the Twins and Alec Marsh for the Royals.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline +120
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 7:15 ET on Saturday, September 7th.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a five-run 5th inning for the Royals’ offense, they cruised to a 5-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -141 on the money line.
Kansas City got to Twins starter Zebby Matthews, who gave up four earned runs in just five innings of work and took the loss. As for the Royals, they got a good outing from Cole Ragans, who gave up just four hits and no earned runs across six innings of work and got the win.
Both Michael Massey and Hunter Renfroe each drove in two runs for the Royals’ offense. Massey, Tommy Pham, and Adalberto Mondesi each scored two runs for Kansas City.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 76-65 overall and trails the Guardians by five games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 28-18 against other teams in the division. The Twins are on the road today, and they are 37-35 on the road this year.
The Twins have struggled a bit lately, as they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Twins are 60-37 this year and 28-14 as the favorite on the road. In this series, the Twins have an overall record of 24-16-4.
Minnesota has played to the run line in 66 of 141 games this season, and they have a run line record of 37-35 on the road. The Twins are 43-54 vs. the run line as the favorite and 23-21 as the underdog. They have an average run differential of +0.3 runs per game this season.
Minnesota’s over/under record is 71-65, and the average O/U line for their games is 8 runs. Their combined run average is 9.1 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Twins have a 12-17-4 O/U record. This season, 55 of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 39.0% of their games. In the other 53 games, the O/U line was set lower than 8 runs, making up 37.6% of their games.
Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.95. Opposing batters are hitting .207 off Ober this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.02. Ober’s last outing came on September 1st vs. the Blue Jays, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are tied for the team lead in home runs, with both players having gone deep 20 times this season. Santana also leads the Twins with 60 RBIs, while Jeffers is second on the team with 59. Both players have struggled at the plate of late, with Santana hitting just .219 over his last 10 games and Jeffers coming in at .237 for the season.
Byron Buxton is also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, as he has 16 homers this season while batting .275. He is also 4th on the team with 49 RBIs. Over his last 10 games, Jose Miranda has gone 11/33, but he has yet to hit a home run this season.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 77-65 overall and 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Royals have gone 31-16 in AL Central games this year. The Royals have won two straight games, and this comes after dropping seven in a row.
At home, the Royals are 43-30 this year and just above .500 at 34-35 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 71 games, going 45-26 in those games. As the underdog, the Royals are 32-39 this year. Kansas City’s overall series record is 20-22-2, and they have dropped two straight series.
When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. That’s helped them to a run line record of 78-64 this season. They’re 41-32 at home against the run line, where they’ve been favored 71 times and have a 37-34 record in those games.
The Kansas City Royals are back home to face the Minnesota Twins in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. The Royals and their opponents have combined to average 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the year is 64-73. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-12-3. Overall, 62.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Right-hander Alec Marsh is starting for the Royals today vs. the Twins and comes into the game with a record of 7-8 and an ERA of 4.70. This year, he has made 21 starts, and opponents have put together a batting average of .242 vs. Marsh. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.11 strikeouts per nine innings. Marsh most recently faced the Astros, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone 4 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run in back-to-back starts.
Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino are both in the top 10 in the league in RBIs, with 94 and 97, respectively. Perez is batting .271 for the season, and Pasquantino is at .262. Bobby Witt Jr. has been the Royals’ best hitter this season, with a batting average of .337 and 30 home runs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 5/26 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Royals are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run-hitting team and have the 5th best team batting average in the league.