Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/6/24
At 8:10 PM ET, the Twins and Royals will face off in an AL Central matchup. This one is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, and the Royals are favored on the money line (-147). The money line odds have the Twins at +125. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
APLTV is carrying this one on TV, and Zebby Matthews is starting for the Twins, while the Royals are going with Cole Ragans. Both teams have a record of 76-64, and the Twins are 2nd in the AL Central, while the Royals are 3rd.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -147
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 8:10 ET on Friday, September 6th.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Twins Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Rays, the Twins closed out the series with a 4-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -156. It got tense at the end, as the Rays pulled to within one run in the 7th, but the Twins were able to close things out, and Jhoan Duran picked up the save.
Pablo Lopez put together a good start for the Twins, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just three runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
Minnesota is 76-64 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL Central. Currently, they are four games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Royals, and they are 37-34 on the road this season.
The Twins have been good at home, going 39-30. As the underdog, Minnesota is just 16-27 this season, which includes having lost three straight as the underdog. They are 60-37 as the favorite this season. Minnesota’s overall series record is 24-16-4, and they split their most recent series vs. the Rays.
Minnesota has been a solid bet on the run line this year, going 66-74 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where their average run margin is +0.2, compared to +0.5 at home. They have gone 37-34 vs. the run line on the road, but just 29-40 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 23-20 vs. the run line compared to 43-54 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +3.7, while in losses it is -3.6.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the Kansas City Royals, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Twins games this season is 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 71-64. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 19-16. Overall, 62.9% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Zebby Matthews and the Twins are on the road to take on the Royals. Matthews has started 3 games so far this season, and he has a win, loss, and a no-decision. His last start was a loss to the Blue Jays, where he went just 2 innings, giving up 5 earned runs.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers come into the game tied for the team lead in home runs, with 20 apiece. Santana also leads the Twins with 60 RBIs, while Jeffers is 2nd on the team with 59 RBIs. Willi Castro is batting .248 for the season and has gone deep 11 times. Byron Buxton and Royce Lewis are also tied for 2nd on the team in homers, with 16 each.
Carlos Santana has gone just 5/24 in his last eight games, but he does have two home runs during that stretch. Jose Miranda has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/28 in his last eight games. Currently, Santana is on a three-game hitting streak, while Carlos Correa is on a four-game streak.
Royals Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Guardians, the Royals closed out the series with a 4-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -128 on the money line. It was a four-run 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Guardians could only score one run, which came in the 3rd.
Seth Lugo put together a good start for the Royals, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Kansas City’s offense was carried by Tommy Pham, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Kansas City is 76-65 overall and 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 4.5 games. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL Central, going 30-16. The Royals will host the Twins today, and Minnesota is just a half-game ahead of the Royals in the division.
At home, the Royals are 42-30 this year and have gone 34-35 on the road. This year, they have really played well as the favorite, going 44-26, and they are 28-17 as the favorite at home. Kansas City’s overall series record is 20-22-2, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Royals have a run line record of 77-64 this season, and they have been a good bet at home, going 40-32. Their average run margin for the season is +0.6 runs per game, and they have been a good bet as the underdog, going 41-30 against the run line.
The Kansas City Royals have an over/under record of 4-12 when the line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have an average combined run total of 8.9 runs. Overall, the over/under record for the Royals this season is 64-72, and the average line for their games is set at 8 runs. The over has hit in 83.0% of their games this season, with 117 of their games having lines set above 7.5 runs.
Kansas City is sending left-hander Cole Ragans to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 10-9 with a 3.46 ERA. Ragans’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.17, and he has one complete game and 17 quality starts. In his last outing, Ragans took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Astros. Before that, he had gone 7 innings without giving up an earned run vs. the Twins. So far, he has a record of 6-5 at home with a 5.64 ERA.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 6th best mark in the league, and are also one of the best teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts. Kansas City’s team on-base percentage of .310 is 11th in the MLB.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been a huge bright spot for the Royals this season, as he is hitting .339 with a team-high 30 home runs and 97 RBIs. Witt Jr. has also gone 2/5 with two homers over his last five games. Vinnie Pasquantino and Witt Jr. are both in the top 10 in the league in RBIs, with Pasquantino also leading the team with 19 homers.