Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 9/16/24
At 6:40 PM ET, the Twins and Guardians face off in an AL Central matchup. This one is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, and the Guardians are slight favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -106. The Twins are -112 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Matthew Boyd is starting for the Guardians, and he is facing off against Pablo Lopez for the Twins. Minnesota is currently 3rd in the AL Central, while the Guardians are on a two-game winning streak and are 1st in the division.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -106
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Monday, September 16th.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Twins Records & Stats
The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 9-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Reds in the top of the 4th, the Twins responded with three runs of their own. Minnesota went on to add another six runs in the 6th inning.
Cole Sands put together a good start for the Twins, going 3 2/3 innings, and giving up just two runs on three hits. He also issued three walks and struck out three. Carlos Santana was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Minnesota is 79-70 overall and is 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 6.5 games. So far, they are 28-20 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins kick off their series vs. the Guardians on the road, where they are 37-37 this season.
At home, the Twins have gone 42-33 this season. They have really struggled on the road, having lost three straight and are just one game above .500. As the favorite, the Twins are 63-41 and 16-29 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-17-4, and they are coming off losing their series vs. the Reds.
Minnesota has a run line record of 69-80 this season, and they have been a .500 team against the run line on the road at 37-37. The Twins have been a favorite in most games, and their run line record as the favorite is 46-58. Their average run margin on the road is +0.1 runs per game, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last five road games.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Twins have an over/under record of 76-67 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.2 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 19 of 36 games. The over has hit in five straight Twins games.
Pablo López has been pitching great for the Twins, as he comes into the game with a record of 15-8 and an ERA of 3.88. Looking at his overall numbers, he has made 29 starts, 17 of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, López is averaging 9.73 strikeouts compared to just 1.86 walks. So far, he has allowed 23 home runs. In his last outing, López went seven innings, giving up four earned runs and picking up the win. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. López has won each of his last four starts.
Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Twins, going 8/18 in his last five games with two homers and six runs scored. For the season, he is batting .243 and is currently the team’s leader in RBIs (65) and home runs (22). Ryan Jeffers is also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, as he has 20 homers this season but is batting just .232.
As a team, the Twins are 9th in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. This is a team that has been good at avoiding strikeouts and has a collective batting average of .249. Minnesota comes into the game as one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs.
Guardians Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Rays, the Guardians closed out the series with a 2-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -126 on the money line. It was a good all-around performance, as the Guardians’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning and their pitching staff held the Rays scoreless. Cleveland’s bullpen was especially good, as they picked up the save and didn’t allow a run.
Ben Lively put together a good start for the Guardians, going five innings and not giving up a run. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win. The Guardians’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning. Angel Martinez and Jose Ramirez each had two hits. Ramirez also scored a run and drove in the other run.
Cleveland will open up their series vs. the Twins having won two straight games, and they lead the AL Central with an 86-64 record. The Guardians hold a four-game lead over the Royals for the division lead. So far, they are 27-21 against other teams in the AL Central.
The Guardians have been good at home this season, going 45-27, and they are just above .500 on the road at 41-37. This year, the Guardians are 61-32 when favored and 25-32 as the underdog. At home, they have won two straight and are 5-7 as the underdog this year. Cleveland’s overall series record is 26-15-6, and they are coming off splitting their series with the Rays.
The Guardians are 76-74 against the run line this season, including a 35-37 mark at home. They have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game on the season. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 41-37. They are 44-49 against the run line as the favorite and 32-25 as the underdog.
When the Cleveland Guardians are at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. This season, their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 66-73. The over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs per game, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 17-20. Overall, 70.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their games have gone under the line in four straight contests.
Through six starts, Matthew Boyd has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 2.18. He has made three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Boyd went 4 1/3 innings against the White Sox, giving up just one earned run. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Looking back over his last four starts, Boyd has given up just one earned run in three of them. His ERA for the season is 1.56 at home compared to 2.88 on the road.
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 35 home runs are 6th best in the MLB and the most on the Guardians roster. His 107 RBIs are also the best in the league. Ramirez comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak and has gone 6/20 in his last five games, including one home run. Josh Naylor is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 29 homers this season, which is 11th best in the league.
Overall, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 17th in the league, and have the worst BABIP in the league.