Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick & Prediction 3/2/25

At 9:30 ET, the Timberwolves will travel to Phoenix to take on the Suns. ESPN will televise this Western Conference matchup. The Suns (-122) are favored by 1.5 points over the Timberwolves (+103). The over/under line is 229.5.
Minnesota is currently 9th in the Western Conference with a record of 32-29. They have lost two straight games. Phoenix is 11th in the West at 28-32. The Suns are 5th in the Pacific Division.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS PHOENIX SUNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Phoenix Suns -1.5
This game will be played at PHX Arena at 9:30 ET on Sunday, March 2nd.
WHY BET THE PHOENIX SUNS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 127-118 in favor of the Suns.
- Our projections have Devin Booker finishing with 26 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists.
- From the field, we have the Suns finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.4% and knocking down 16 threes.
Are the Timberwolves Ready for a Win at Phoenix?
The Timberwolves fell to 32-29 on the season after a 117-116 road loss to the Jazz on Friday. Minnesota, who entered the game as 4-point favorites, not only lost straight up but also failed to cover the spread. The total score of 233 points went over the pre-game line of 227.5.
Minnesota took control early, leading 67-56 after a strong 2nd quarter. However, the Jazz responded with an 11-0 run, flipping the score to 69-67. Utah outscored the Timberwolves 38-25 in the 3rd quarter, and despite a close 4th quarter, Minnesota couldn’t complete the comeback.
In their 117-116 loss to the Jazz, the Timberwolves shot 43.6% from the field but connected on 20 threes at a 38.5% rate. Naz Reid led the way with 27 points, hitting 6 threes at 40% efficiency, and added 11 rebounds and 5 assists.
Jaden McDaniels contributed 20 points and 10 rebounds, while Terrence Shannon chipped in 17 points, making 3 threes at 60%. Reid scored 8 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, while McDaniels added 10 points in the opening period.
Despite a strong defensive effort in the 2nd and 4th quarters, the Timberwolves couldn’t overcome giving up 38 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, leading to a 117-116 loss to the Jazz. Minnesota allowed Utah to shoot 51% from the field, including 40% from three-point range, where the Jazz hit 14 threes.
On the positive side, the Timberwolves sent the Jazz to the free-throw line just 14 times, with Utah making 9 of those attempts. Minnesota also recorded 17 steals and 4 blocks, but they allowed 15 offensive rebounds.
Can the Phoenix Offense Score Enough at Home?
The Suns improved to 28-32 on the season with a 125-108 win over the Pelicans on Friday. Phoenix, favored by 9.5 points, covered the spread with the win. The game’s total points of 233 exceeded the over/under line of 227.5.
Phoenix set the tone early with a 12-0 run, extending their lead from 10-6 to 22-6. They dominated the 1st quarter, outscoring New Orleans 40-18. Although the Pelicans edged out the Suns in the 2nd and 4th quarters, Phoenix’s 92-70 lead heading into the final period was enough to secure the win.
The Suns shot 59.5% from the field and hit 21 threes at a 52.5% clip in their win over the Pelicans on Friday. Bol Bol led the way with 25 points, knocking down 5 threes at 62.5% shooting from deep.
Royce O’Neale added 18 points, hitting 6 threes at 66.7%, while Nick Richards contributed 19 points and 12 rebounds. O’Neale scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, while Devin Booker added 7 of his 17 points in the final period.
The Suns’ defense was strong in the 1st quarter, allowing just 18 points, and they kept the Pelicans to 24 in the 2nd. Phoenix gave up 28 points in the 3rd before a 38-point 4th quarter, but they still held New Orleans to 108 points in the win.
From three-point range, the Pelicans hit 11 threes at a 39% clip. The Suns sent them to the line 15 times, where they made 9 free throws. Phoenix grabbed 30 defensive rebounds, allowed 13 offensive boards, and added 6 steals and 3 blocks.