Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick & Prediction 1/20/25

The Memphis Grizzlies (-188) will host the Minnesota Timberwolves (+159) in a Western Conference matchup. The Grizzlies are currently favored by 4.5 points and have won two straight games. Tip-off is scheduled for 2:30 ET at FedExForum.
Memphis (27-15) is currently third in the West, while Minnesota (22-20) is eighth. The over/under line for this game is 235 points.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -4.5
This game will be played at FedExForum at 2:30 ET on Monday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 161-110 in favor of the Grizzlies.
- Our projections have Ja Morant finishing with 23 points, 5 rebounds and 8 assists.
- From the field, we have the Grizzlies finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.2% and knocking down 18 threes.
Do the Timberwolves Have What it Takes on the Road?
The Timberwolves dropped to 22-20 on the season after a 124-117 loss to the Cavaliers on Saturday. Minnesota was a +4.5 point underdog at home and failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 241 exceeded the O/U line of 227 by 14 points.
A key moment in the game came when the Cavaliers went on a 12-0 run, extending their lead from 36-31 to 48-31. Minnesota fell behind further after being outscored 29-19 in the 3rd quarter but made a push in the 4th, outscoring Cleveland 38-35.
Anthony Edwards led the Timberwolves with 28 points and 5 assists in their 124-117 loss to the Cavaliers, hitting 4 threes at 44.4% efficiency. He shot 40.9% from the field overall. The Timberwolves connected on 15 threes as a team, shooting 39.5% from deep and 47.8% overall.
Edwards scored 13 points in the 4th quarter, while Rob Dillingham added all 12 of his points in the final period. Rudy Gobert was efficient, shooting 85.7% from the field and finishing with 17 points and 12 rebounds. Julius Randle contributed 20 points, 14 rebounds, and 9 assists.
Defensively, the Timberwolves gave up 124 points to the Cavaliers, including a 35-point 4th quarter. Cleveland shot 45% from the field, with Minnesota allowing 29 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters.
The Cavaliers hit 17 threes at a 35% clip. Minnesota sent Cleveland to the line 25 times, where they made 23 free throws. The Timberwolves recorded 4 steals and 4 blocks.
Will the Grizzlies Find a Way to Win at Home?
Memphis improved to 27-15 this season after a dominant 140-112 win over the Spurs on Friday. The Grizzlies were +1 point underdogs on the road but covered the spread with a +28 point victory. The game’s total of 252 points went over the line of 236.5 by 15.5 points.
After a 35-35 2nd quarter, Memphis took control with an 18-0 run, stretching the score from 88-86 to 104-88. They outscored the Spurs 40-22 in the 3rd quarter and 38-26 in the 4th to seal the win.
The Grizzlies put up 140 points in their win over the Spurs, shooting 56.7% from the field and hitting 19 threes at a 43.2% clip. Santi Aldama led the way with 29 points and 5 threes, while Desmond Bane and Jaylen Wells each added 22 points.
Wells was particularly effective from deep, connecting on 6 threes at 75% efficiency. He scored 13 of his points in the 2nd quarter, while Bane added 9 points in the 4th.
Despite giving up 35 points in the 2nd quarter, the Grizzlies tightened up defensively in the 3rd, allowing just 22 points, and finished strong in the 4th, giving up 26 points to the Spurs. Overall, Memphis allowed 112 points on 47% shooting from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Grizzlies held San Antonio to 13 made threes on 36% shooting. The Spurs also went 19/23 from the free-throw line. Memphis recorded 9 steals in the game.