Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Betting Pick & Prediction 2/21/25

At 9:30 ET, the Timberwolves will travel to Houston to take on the Rockets. The Rockets are currently favored by 4 points and are 34-21 on the season. Minnesota is 31-25 and is 7th in the Western Conference.

This Western Conference matchup can be seen on ESPN and the over/under line is currently set at 216.5 points.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS HOUSTON ROCKETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +4

This game will be played at Toyota Center at 9:30 ET on Friday, February 21st.

WHY BET THE MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 96-95 in favor of the Rockets.
  • Our projections have Jalen Green finishing with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Rockets finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.2% and knocking down 11 threes.

Taking a Look at the Timberwolves Chances on the Road

The Timberwolves improved to 31-25 on the season with a 116-101 home win over the Thunder on Thursday. Minnesota, who entered the game as +9.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread with a +15 point victory. The total points for the game ended at 217, falling short of the 228.5 O/U line.

Minnesota jumped out to a 37-24 lead after the 1st quarter, but the Thunder fought back in the 2nd, outscoring the Timberwolves 32-27. Minnesota edged out the 3rd quarter 33-31 and then clamped down defensively in the 4th, holding the Thunder to just 14 points. A key 10-0 run helped the Timberwolves extend their lead from 99-89 to 109-89.

Naz Reid led the Timberwolves to a win over the Thunder, scoring 27 points and grabbing 14 rebounds, while shooting 61.1% from the field. Anthony Edwards added 23 points, despite shooting just 27.8%, and Jaden McDaniels contributed 21 points on 50% shooting.

The Timberwolves shot 42.4% from the field and made 12 three-pointers at a 26.1% clip. Reid hit 3 threes at 33.3%, while Edwards also made 3, shooting 25% from beyond the arc.

The Timberwolves put the clamps on the Thunder in the 4th quarter, giving up just 14 points to seal a 116-101 win. Minnesota’s defense allowed 101 points overall, with 24 in the 1st quarter, 32 in the 2nd, and 31 in the 3rd.

Defensively, the Timberwolves held the Thunder to 42% shooting, including just 24% from beyond the arc, where Oklahoma City made only 7 threes. Minnesota also recorded 34 defensive rebounds, gave up 12 offensive boards, and finished with 5 steals.

Does Houston Stand a Chance at Home?

The Rockets fell to 34-21 on the season after a 105-98 home loss to the Warriors on Thursday. Houston entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 203, well below the 225.5 O/U line.

Houston got off to a slow start, trailing 28-19 after the 1st quarter. They went on a 10-0 run in the 4th quarter, cutting the deficit from 82-66 to 82-76, but couldn’t complete the comeback.

In their 105-98 loss to the Warriors, the Rockets shot 40.9% from the field, with a three-point percentage of 33.3%, hitting 12 threes. Aaron Holiday led the way with 25 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists, shooting 50% from the floor.

Holiday scored 10 points in the 4th quarter, while Jock Landale added 11 of his 13 points in the final period. Nate Williams contributed 7 of his 11 points in the 4th as well.

Even with a strong defensive effort, the Rockets couldn’t overcome the Warriors, who scored 105 points on Thursday. Houston’s defense struggled in the 2nd quarter, giving up 34 points, but they tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 20 points.

The Rockets held the Warriors to 39% shooting, including just 26% from three-point range, with Golden State making 11 threes. Houston also recorded 7 steals and 5 blocks in the game.