Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 3/12/25
The Minnesota Timberwolves will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets in a Western Northwest division matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 ET at Ball Arena.
At the moment, the Nuggets are favored by 3.5 points and are -163 on the moneyline. The Timberwolves are currently on a five-game win streak and have a record of 37-29. They are 7th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Northwest Division. The over/under line for this game is set at 235.5.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5
This game will be played at Ball Arena at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, March 12th.
WHY BET THE MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 130-124 in favor of the Timberwolves.
- Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with 26 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.5% and knocking down 17 threes.
Can Minnesota Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?
The Timberwolves improved to 37-29 this season after a 141-124 win over the Spurs on Sunday. Playing at home, Minnesota entered the game as -11 point favorites and covered the spread. The total score of 265 points exceeded the O/U line of 232.5 by 32.5 points.
Minnesota led 37-29 after the 1st quarter, and the teams played evenly in the 2nd, each scoring 31 points. The Timberwolves pulled away in the 3rd, outscoring the Spurs 41-34, and carried a 109-94 lead into the 4th, where they finished strong, winning the final quarter 32-30.
The Timberwolves put up 141 points in their win over the Spurs, shooting 55.8% from the field and hitting 21 threes at a 50% clip. Anthony Edwards led the way with 25 points, including 12 in the 3rd quarter.
Naz Reid added 20 points, while Donte DiVincenzo contributed 17, scoring 10 in the 4th. Rudy Gobert and Jaden McDaniels each chipped in 16 points, with Gobert adding 8 in the final period.
Even with a shaky defensive performance, the Timberwolves managed to secure a win over the Spurs, giving up 124 points on 55% shooting. Minnesota allowed 29 points in the 1st quarter, 31 in the 2nd, 34 in the 3rd, and 30 in the 4th.
The Timberwolves did limit San Antonio’s three-point shooting, holding them to 11 made threes on 36% shooting. The Spurs also went 19/24 from the free-throw line. Defensively, Minnesota recorded 7 steals and 4 blocks.
Can Denver Grab a Win at Home?
The Nuggets improved to 42-23 on the season with a 140-127 win over the Thunder on Monday. Denver, who were +9.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The game’s total of 267 points went well over the pre-game line of 240.5.
Denver’s 13-0 run in the 4th quarter was key, as they stretched the score from 99-96 to 112-96. After trailing 73-67 at halftime, the Nuggets outscored the Thunder 34-26 in the 3rd quarter and 39-28 in the 4th.
The Nuggets shot 60.5% from the field and 56.2% from three, hitting 18 threes in their 140-127 win over the Thunder. Nikola Jokić led the way with 35 points, 18 rebounds, and 8 assists, shooting 75% from the floor. Jamal Murray added 34 points, connecting on 3 threes.
Jokić scored 10 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, while Murray added 11 points in the 3rd. Michael Porter Jr. contributed 17 points, hitting 3 threes, and Christian Braun scored 9 of his 14 points in the 3rd quarter.
Despite giving up 127 points, the Nuggets managed to secure a win against the Thunder. Denver’s defense struggled in the 2nd quarter, allowing 41 points, but they tightened up in the 3rd, giving up just 26 points. Overall, the Thunder shot 47% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Thunder hit 19 threes at a 40% clip. Denver sent Oklahoma City to the line 16 times, where they made 14 free throws. The Nuggets finished with 34 defensive rebounds, gave up 13 offensive boards, and recorded 6 steals and 5 blocks.