Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick & Prediction 2/12/25

At 8:00 ET, the Minnesota Timberwolves (-235) will host the Milwaukee Bucks (+197) in a non-conference matchup. The Timberwolves are favored by 6 points, and the over/under line is set at 224.5.
This game will take place at the Target Center in Minneapolis and can be seen on FDSN. The Bucks (28-24) are 5th in the Eastern Conference, while the Timberwolves (30-24) are 7th in the West.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +6
This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 12th.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-94 in favor of the Bucks.
- Our projections have Damian Lillard finishing with 25 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists.
- From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.3% and knocking down 16 threes.
No Pressure for Milwaukee as Away Dogs
The Bucks fell to 28-24 on the season after a 125-111 loss to the Warriors on Monday. Milwaukee, who were +7 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread at home. The total score of 236 points exceeded the O/U line of 230.
Golden State’s 11-0 run was pivotal, as they turned a 102-94 lead into a 105-102 advantage. Milwaukee kept it close, winning the 3rd quarter 32-31, but the Warriors pulled away in the 4th, outscoring the Bucks 36-28.
In their 125-111 loss to the Warriors, the Bucks shot 50% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 10 threes at a 30.3% clip. Damian Lillard led the way with 38 points, 7 assists, and 5 rebounds, shooting 60% from the floor and 33.3% from deep, making 3 threes.
Kyle Kuzma added 21 points and 6 rebounds, shooting 66.7%, with 13 of his points coming in the 4th quarter. Taurean Prince also shot 66.7%, contributing 19 points and 8 rebounds, and made 5 threes at a 71.4% rate.
Defensively, the Bucks gave up 125 points to the Warriors, allowing 29 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, 31 in the 3rd, and 36 in the 4th. Milwaukee held Golden State to 44% shooting overall, including just 28% from beyond the arc, where the Warriors hit 13 threes.
The Bucks sent the Warriors to the line 38 times, where they converted 30 free throws. Milwaukee grabbed 32 defensive rebounds but allowed 15 offensive boards. They also recorded 5 steals and 4 blocks in the game.
Can the Timberwolves Deliver Being Favored at Home?
The Timberwolves fell to 30-24 on the season after a 128-107 road loss to the Cavaliers on Monday. Minnesota entered the game as +8.5 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 235 points narrowly exceeded the pre-game line of 232.
Cleveland set the tone early with a 16-0 run, and Minnesota couldn’t recover. The Timberwolves were down 104-78 going into the 4th quarter but managed to outscore the Cavaliers 29-24 in the final period.
In the Timberwolves’ 128-107 loss to the Cavaliers, Anthony Edwards was the standout performer, scoring 44 points and hitting 8 threes at a 53.3% rate. He had 18 points in the 3rd quarter alone. The rest of the team struggled, with Rob Dillingham adding 13 points and Rudy Gobert contributing 12.
Overall, the Timberwolves shot just 40% from the field and 30.8% from three, making 12 threes in the game. Edwards was the only player to make a significant impact from beyond the arc.
Defensively, the Timberwolves struggled against the Cavaliers, giving up 128 points on 51% shooting. Their toughest stretch came in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed 38 points. Minnesota did manage to hold Cleveland to 24 points in the 4th, but it wasn’t enough to turn the tide.
The Timberwolves also had trouble defending the three, as the Cavaliers hit 17 threes at a 39% clip. Minnesota sent Cleveland to the line 20 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Timberwolves recorded 10 steals and 6 blocks in the game.