Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/22/24
The forecast looks good for Thursday’s matchup between the Brewers and Cardinals, with the temperature sitting in the low 70s and clear skies. This one gets started at 2:15 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Brewers are the favorites on the money line (-121).
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Freddy Peralta will start for the Brewers, while the Cardinals are set to go with Miles Mikolas. Milwaukee is 73-53 and in 1st place in the NL Central, while the Cardinals are 62-64.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline +103
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 2:15 ET on Thursday, August 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was all St. Louis in the last game of this series, as the Cardinals took down the Brewers by a score of 10-6. The Cardinals offense only had two more hits than the Brewers and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -118 on the money line.
Milwaukee had a late rally in the 7th and 8th innings, scoring two and then another four runs, but still fell well short of a comeback. The Brewers offense actually scored more runs in the game than the Cardinals, as they crossed the plate six times.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Kyle Gibson for the Cardinals and Tobias Myers for the Brewers. Gibson only went 5 1/3 innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Myers was tagged for two homers and six runs in four innings of work.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Cardinals with a record of 73-53, and they lead the NL Central by 11 games. The Brewers are 26-15 in divisional games this year. So far, they have been good both at home (38-24) and on the road (35-29).
The Brewers have won two straight games when favored, and they are 40-28 as the favorite this year. As for their play as the underdog, they are 33-25. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 21-14-4, and they are 1-1 in their current series vs. the Cardinals.
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.5 runs per game. Their run line record is 66-60, and they are 36-28 against the run line on the road. As the underdog, they are 39-19 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 27-41.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 8.8 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Brewers this season is 67-52, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-9-3. In 57.9% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at over 8 runs.
Freddy Peralta is starting for the Brewers today and comes into the game with a record of 8-7 and an ERA of 4.00. So far this season, he has made 25 starts, and opponents are batting .216 off the right-hander. Peralta has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 10.62 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Peralta picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in back-to-back starts. Peralt has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 4.42 ERA compared to 4.2 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Brewers are batting .254, which is 5th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and walks.
Willy Adames has been the Brewers’ top power threat this season, as his 22 homers are 14th in the league. He is also 9th in the league with 85 RBIs. William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/29 in his last eight games, with three homers and five RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has 20 homers for the season but has struggled with a batting average of just .219.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is 62-64 overall and trails the Brewers by 11 games for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 18-23 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cardinals have lost two straight series and are 19-17-4 in series this year. They are also just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Cardinals are 33-30 this season and 29-34 on the road. As the underdog, St. Louis is 30-31 this year compared to 32-33 as the favorite. So far, they have been 11-7 as the home underdog.
Despite being underdogs, the Cardinals have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 40-21 in those games. They have been particularly good against the run line at home, going 31-32. The average run margin in their wins is +2.7, while it’s -3.5 in their losses.
When the St. Louis Cardinals play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals and their opponents have combined to average 8.7 runs per game this season. The over/under record for St. Louis is 61-62 this season, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Cardinals have an over/under record of 8-11-1. So far this season, 59.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Right-hander Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Brewers at home. Mikolas has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 8-10 with a 5.41 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Mikolas has a WHIP of 1.29 and opponents are batting .284 off him this season. In his 25 appearances, Mikolas has turned in 13 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging just 1.43 walks compared to 6.26 strikeouts. Mikolas has struggled at home this year, coming in with a record of 1-5 and 7.22 ERA.
So far this season, the Cardinals offense has been pretty average in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. As a team, they are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. At home, they have been slightly better, averaging 4.3 runs per game. St. Louis has been a below-average home run hitting team, coming into the game ranked 17th in the league.
Over the team’s last 10 games, Nolan Arenado has been swinging the bat well, going 10/39 with three homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into 2nd on the team’s RBI leaderboard and 4th in home runs. Alec Burleson has been the team’s top power threat, as his 21 homers is the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. So far, he is batting .276.