Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 4/21/24
At 2:15 PM from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have an NL Central matchup between the Brewers and Cardinals. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Brewers have a record of 13-6, while the Cardinals are 9-12. Milwaukee is currently in first place in the NL Central.
Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Cardinals are the favorite at -161. Sonny Gray will start for St. Louis, and he is facing off against Colin Rea for the Brewers. You can catch this one on BSMW.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +136
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 2:15 ET on Sunday, April 21st.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Brewers picked up a 12-5 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. Milwaukee’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding four more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Cardinals got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final four runs in the 5th.
DL Hall only went 3 2/3 innings for the Brewers but gave up just four hits and struck out three without giving up a run. He picked up the win in the game, while Miles Mikolas struggled on the mound for the Cardinals, giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work.
Rhys Hoskins and Jackson Chourio each homered for the Brewers, while William Contreras went 3/6 with two runs scored and an RBI. Willy Adames also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee heads into today’s game in St. Louis, having won three straight games. In the NL Central, they are just ahead of the Cubs by one game, with a division record of 4-1. Their overall record is currently 13-6.
On the road, the Brewers have been excellent so far, putting together a record of 9-2. And when coming into a game as the underdog on the road, they are 7-1 this season. Their series record is 4-1-1.
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. They are 9-10 on the run line this season, but 8-3 on the road. They have been the underdog in 10 games and are 7-3 in those games. Their run line record at home is just 1-7.
When the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals play, the over/under line is typically set high. In 78.9% of their games, the line has been set at 7.5 or higher. The combined run average in their games is 10.1, and the over/under record for the Brewers this season is 13-6. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in two of the three games this season when the line has been set at 7.5 runs.
Colin Rea is getting the start for the Brewers on the road against the Cardinals. He has started 3 games so far this season, picking up a win in his last outing against the Mariners. In that game, he went 6 innings, giving up just 1 earned run. He also has a win against the Mets and a no-decision vs. the Orioles.
For the Brewers, we like Rhys Hoskins to have a good game at the plate. He has the highest home run projection on the team and the 6th best in the league today. Willy Adames is our 3rd best projected hitter in terms of total hits and has the 8th best home run projection in the league. William Contreras is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 12th best in the league today. Sal Frelick is our 2nd best projected hitter in terms of total hits.
Cardinals Records & Stats
As the Cardinals are at home today vs. the Brewers, they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they dropped the final three games of their series with the Brewers. In the NL Central, they are currently in 5th place, five games behind the Brewers.
So far, the Cardinals have been the favorite in eight of their games, and they have gone 4-4 in those contests. As the underdog, they are 5-8 this season. At home, they are 3-5 and 6-7 on the road.
St. Louis is 12-9 against the run line this season, including a 5-3 mark at home. The Cardinals have been the underdog in 13 of their 21 games and are 9-4 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential in wins is +2.4, compared to -3.2 in losses.
St. Louis Cardinals games have had an average of 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 8-12. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 0-4. Overall, 76.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and only 4.8% have had lines set lower.
Sonny Gray has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up wins in both outings. He went 5 innings in his first start, and then followed that up with a 6 inning outing in which he struck out 6 batters. Gray has yet to allow an earned run this season, and he will be taking on the Brewers at home today.
If you’re looking for some Cardinals players to bet on for individual performances, we have a few options for you. Nolan Arenado is our 2nd highest projected player in terms of total hits, and he has the 4th best odds on the team to hit a home run. Willson Contreras has the 11th best odds in the league to hit a home run today, and his odds are 2nd best on the Cardinals. If you’re looking for a Cardinals player to hit a home run, Nolan Gorman is our top pick, as he has the 9th best odds in the league. Brendan Donovan has the best odds to lead the Cardinals in hits today, and his total hits projection is 24th best in the league.