Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 6/20/24
Thursday’s matchup between the Brewers and Padres has a first pitch set for 9:40 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego. The Brewers are currently on a two-game winning streak and are 44-30 overall, while the Padres are 38-40 and have Adam Mazur on the mound.
The money line odds have the Brewers at -116 compared to the Padres at -103, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. This NL matchup is 1st in the Central and 3rd in the West.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -103
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Thursday, June 20th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Brewers Records & Stats
Freddy Peralta was excellent in his last start for the Brewers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out eight Angels batters. Milwaukee’s offense scored only two runs in the win, and Peralta got the win.
The Brewers’s bullpen closed things out, and Trevor Megill picked up the save. Milwaukee’s other run came in the 8th inning. They were the -190 favorite going into the game.
Milwaukee is on the road today to take on the Padres, and they currently lead the NL Central with a record of 44-30. The Brewers hold a 7.5-game lead over the Cardinals heading into today’s game. The Brewers have gone 18-9 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Brewers have gone 22-12 this year, and they are 22-18 on the road. Milwaukee has won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10. As the favorite, the Brewers are 25-14 this year, and they are 19-16 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 15-7-2, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight on the road.
The Brewers have been a solid run line bet this season, going 38-36 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 23-17 against the run line. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 23-12 against the run line as an underdog this season.
Despite their combined run average of 8.7, the Brewers have played in games with an average over/under line of 8 runs this season. However, when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 18 of their 32 games, which is a 56.3% rate. Overall, the over has hit in 38 of their 71 games this season.
Right-hander Bryse Wilson is getting the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.84 ERA. Wilson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his 17 appearances, he has turned in two quality starts. Wilson’s most recent outing came out of the bullpen, where he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had lost three straight outings. Wilson has been much better at home this year, with an ERA of 3.08 compared to 8.77 on the road.
William Contreras has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, batting .304 with nine homers, which is 3rd in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 48 RBIs. Over his last five games, he has gone 6/21 with one home run. Willy Adames is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 12 long balls are the best mark on the team and 7th in the league, but he is batting just .240.
As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .252, which is 6th in the league, and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing one run to the Phillies in the 3rd, the Padres responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 2nd inning. San Diego was the +160 underdog on the money line going into this matchup.
Matt Waldron put together a good start for the Padres, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Diego’s offense was carried by Jackson Merrill, who went 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
San Diego opens their series vs. the Brewers with a record of 38-40, which has them nine games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres are 3rd in the NL West and are just one game behind the Diamondbacks for the 2nd spot in the division. San Diego went 14-15 in division games this year.
The Padres have won three straight games at home, and they are 2-6 as the home underdog this year. San Diego is 20-19 on the road compared to 18-21 at home. So far, they have been favored in 47 games, and they are 24-23 in those games. As for their series record, the Padres are 13-10-3 and dropped their most recent series vs. the Phillies.
San Diego’s run line record this season is 40-38, with a run differential of +0.1 runs per game. The Padres have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 27-12 compared to 13-26 at home. As an underdog, they are 21-10 on the run line, while they are 19-28 as the favorite.
San Diego’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and the Padres have a 38-39 over/under record. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 8-11. The under has hit in their last two games, and the over/under line for tonight’s game against the Brewers is set at 8.5 runs.
Adam Mazur will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Padres, and he’ll be facing the Brewers at home. In his first start, he took the loss against the Diamondbacks, giving up 8 runs in 3 innings. He followed that up with a no-decision against the Angels, where he went 6 innings and gave up just 1 run.
With a team batting average of .258, the Padres have the 2nd best mark in the league and are also among the top home run hitting teams in the league. So far, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.1 runs per contest and 4.7 runs per game on the road.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the Padres’ top power threats this season, as they both have 10 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. Profar’s 47 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. He also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Luis Arraez and Jurickson Profar have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Arraez going 7/22 with five homers in his last seven games.