Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 5/6/24
At 7:40 PM from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, we have an interleague matchup between the Brewers and Royals. Heading into the game, the Brewers have a record of 20-13, while the Royals are 20-15. Cole Ragans will be starting for the Royals, and he is facing off against Bryse Wilson for the Brewers.
Kansas City is the favorite at -147, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by BSWI.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -147
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 7:40 ET on Monday, May 6th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Brewers Records & Stats
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 5-0 loss. Milwaukee was the -140 favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Cubs scored three times in the 2nd.
Offensively, the Brewers only had five hits but didn’t score a run. Their biggest issue was not having a timely hit, as they didn’t score a run until the 5th inning. Freddy Peralta took the loss and only lasted five innings, giving up three earned runs.
Milwaukee is 20-13 overall this season, with their record placing them in a tie with the Cubs for the NL Central lead. The Brewers lost the final two games of their series vs. the Cubs and are 5-5 across their last 10. So far, they have gone 8-5 against other teams in the NL Central.
On the road today, the Brewers are 13-6 this season compared to an even 7-7 at home. Milwaukee has been really good in day games this year, going 12-5. As the road underdog, the Brewers have gone 9-3 this season, and their overall series record is 6-3-2.
The Brewers have been a profitable team to back on the run line this season, going 16-17 overall. They are 12-7 against the run line on the road, where they are outscoring opponents by an average of 1.7 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 12-6 against the run line, while they are just 4-11 when favored.
The Milwaukee Brewers have had a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 19-14. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 13-5. The Brewers have played in 2 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs in just 6.1% of their games this season.
Bryse Wilson gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made three starts and nine appearances this season, coming in with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 3.00. Wilson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00. The right-hander’s last outing came on April 29th, where he took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had a quality start vs. the Padres, going 3 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. Wilson has a total of one quality start this season.
Christian Yelich has been a big part of the Brewers’ offense this season, as he is batting .333 with an OBP of .422. Yelich has also hit five home runs, which is 2nd on the team and 6th in the league. Catcher William Contreras has also been a big part of the Brewers’ offense, as he is batting .336 and has a team-high 27 RBIs. Contreras is also on a seven-game hitting streak.
Over the team’s last five games, both Blake Perkins and Willy Adames have struggled at the plate, with Perkins hitting just .211 and Adames coming in at .200. However, Adames has three homers and nine RBIs in this stretch. Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead with six homers.
Royals Records & Stats
The Royals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rangers scored three runs in the top of the 10th. Kansas City was the +115 underdog at home going into the game.
Daniel Lynch put together a good start for the Royals, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six Rangers batters. However, the Royals’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and James McArthur took the loss out of the bullpen. The Royals also wasted a big game from Bobby Witt Jr., who went 2/4 with a double and a run scored.
With an overall record of 20-15, the Royals are 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 2.5 games. The Royals lost the final two games of their series vs. the Rangers and are 5-5 over their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 8-5 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Royals are 13-7 this season, and they are just above .500 at 7-8 on the road. As the favorite, Kansas City has gone 7-4 this season and 13-11 as the underdog. The Royals have been good at home when favored, putting up a mark of 5-2 this year.
When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.4 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they have a 23-12 run line record this season. They are 13-7 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game. They are also 17-7 against the run line as an underdog.
The Royals have played 33 games this season, and only 22.9% of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. Their combined run average is 7.9, and their over/under record is 11-22. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 4-11.
Cole Ragans gets the start for the Royals today and is facing the Brewers at home. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.44. In his 36 2/3 innings of work, Ragans has one complete game and four quality starts. Ragans’ ERA at home is 12.0, compared to 0.45 on the road, and he most recently pitched on April 30th, where he gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. He has won each of his last two starts.
Salvador Perez has been one of the league’s top power hitters so far this season, as his eight home runs are the 3rd most in the MLB. Perez is also batting .328, which is the best mark on the team. He also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Bobby Witt Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/37 in his last 10 games, and is batting .319 for the season.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are one of the better hitting teams in the league in terms of batting average. However, they are just 19th in the league in terms of drawing walks. Overall, they are 14th in scoring and have been even better at home, where they are averaging 5 runs per game.