Milwaukee Brewers vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 6/8/24
Casey Mize and the Tigers (31-32) will host the Brewers (37-26) today at Comerica Park in Detroit, and the Tigers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. However, they are the slight underdog on the money line (+146), with the Brewers being favored (-173). The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
BSDET is carrying this game on TV, and first pitch is set for 4:10 PM ET. This interleague matchup features the Brewers, who are in 1st place in the NL Central, and the Tigers will be looking to get back on track behind Casey Mize. Milwaukee is currently 1.5 games ahead of the Cubs in the division.
DETROIT TIGERS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline +146
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, June 8th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Tigers by a score of 10-0. The Brewers offense only had three more hits than the Tigers and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -103 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Tobias Myers for the Brewers and Reese Olson for the Tigers. Myers went eight innings and didn’t give up a run as he picked up a win in the game. Olson only went four innings and gave up eight earned runs, taking the loss.
Milwaukee’s two-through-five hitters did the most damage, as they combined for nine hits and seven RBIs. Brice Turang and Blake Perkins each scored twice and drove in two runs for the Brewers’ offense.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is leading the NL Central with an overall record of 37-26, and they lead the Reds by 6.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have been good against other teams in the NL Central, putting up a record of 16-8. The Brewers have won four straight games as the favorite, and they are 18-12 when favored this year.
At home, the Brewers are 18-10 this year, and they have gone 19-16 on the road. Milwaukee is 11-7-2 in series this year, and they are 1-0 in their current series vs. the Tigers. Looking at their overall recent play, the Brewers are 6-4 over their last ten games.
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. That’s why their run line record is just 34-29 despite an overall run differential of +1.1 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road (21-14) than at home (13-15).
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Detroit Tigers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Brewers have a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-27. Their average over/under line for games this season is also 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-5. So far this season, 58.7% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, while 28.6% have had lines set below 8 runs.
Freddy Peralta is looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the White Sox on June 2nd, he went five innings, giving up three earned runs. Peralta finished with five strikeouts in the outing. Looking back at his last four outings, he has alternated wins and losses. Peralta’s record for the season is 4-3, and he has an ERA of 3.74. Opponents are batting .200 this season off Peralta, and his WHIP is 1.05. Overall, he has made 12 starts, five of which were quality starts.
So far this season, the Brewers are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .257. Not only are the Brewers good at putting the ball in play, they also have the league’s best BABIP.
William Contreras comes into the game with a team-high 46 RBIs and is batting .311 for the season. He also has 8 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Rhys Hoskins has struggled with his batting average this season, hitting just .237, but his 10 homers are the best mark on the team. Hoskins and Willy Adames are both looking to get going at the plate, as Adames is batting just .244 this season.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 31-32 overall and trails the Guardians by 9.5 games in the AL Central. The Tigers lost the first game of this series vs. the Brewers and have dropped two straight games overall. So far, they are 10-9 in AL Central play this year.
At home, the Tigers are 14-16 this year and 17-16 on the road. As the underdog, Detroit is 16-19 this year and 15-13 as the favorite. Detroit’s overall series record is 9-7-4 this year, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
When the Tigers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.7 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 27-36, but they are 18-15 on the run line on the road. As the favorite, they are just 6-22 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 21-14.
Today’s over/under line for the Detroit Tigers game against the Milwaukee Brewers is set at 8 runs. The Tigers have an over/under record of 35-26 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Tigers have gone 5-7-2. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit in 42.9% of their games.
Through 11 starts, Casey Mize has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 4.70. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in four innings of work. In that start vs. the Red Sox, he gave up four hits, four walks, and one homer. Mize has a 9.19 ERA on the road compared to 3.47 at home. The right-hander is averaging 6.37 strikeouts per nine innings. Mize’s WHIP for the season is 1.49.
For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 19th in the majors. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .229 and have an on-base percentage of only .296. Detroit’s team OPS of .671 is also one of the worst in the league.
Riley Greene has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/27 in his last seven games. During this stretch, he has one home run and four runs scored. For the season, Greene is batting .241 with 11 homers, which is the best mark on the team. Kerry Carpenter is also among the league leaders in home runs, as he has eight long balls and has driven in a team-high 29 runs.