Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 8/31/24
First pitch for Saturday’s Reds vs. Brewers matchup is set for 7:15 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The Reds are looking to snap a two-game losing streak and are 64-72 overall, while the Brewers are 79-56 and are starting Frankie Montas. The Reds are the slight underdog on the money line (+108), and the over/under line is at 9 runs.
Milwaukee is currently on a four-game winning streak and is 1st in the NL Central. The Brewers are favored to make it five in a row, with their money line odds sitting at -128. FOX will be televising this matchup.
CINCINNATI REDS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +108
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 7:15 ET on Saturday, August 31st.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Reds by a score of 14-0. The Brewers offense only had one more hit than the Reds and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -102 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between DL Hall for the Brewers and Rhett Lowder for the Reds. Hall only went seven innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run and finished with five strikeouts. On the other side, Lowder was tagged for six runs in just four innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two, three, and four hitters did the most damage, as they combined for nine hits, three homers, and eight RBIs. Rhys Hoskins and William Contreras each went deep for the Brewers.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is on a four-game winning streak, and they lead the NL Central with a record of 79-56. The Brewers are 10 games ahead of the Cubs for the division lead. So far, they have gone 28-16 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Brewers are 40-25 this season and 39-31 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee has gone 45-31 and 34-25 as the underdog. The Brewers have won two straight games as the road favorite and have an overall series record of 23-15-4 this year.
The Brewers have been a solid run line bet this season, going 71-64 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 39-31 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 40-19 against the run line compared to 31-45 as the favorite. Their average run margin for the season is +1.0, and they have been outscored by an average of 0.7 runs per game at home and outscored opponents by an average of 1.2 runs per game on the road.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 71-55. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 7-6-4. Overall, only 8.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Reds on the road. Montas has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.64. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.93 strikeouts per nine innings. Montas’ most recent outing came on August 25th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Milwaukee is also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, coming in at 14th in the league. Overall, they are batting .254 as a team (5th) and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the MLB.
Willy Adames has been on a tear for the Brewers, going 10/29 with four homers over his last seven games. This has helped him take over the team lead in home runs (26) and RBIs (92). Adames is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Catcher William Contreras comes into the game batting .286 for the season and is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 64-72 overall and is 15.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds have dropped two straight games and are losing the series vs. the Brewers 0-2. So far, they have gone 19-22 in divisional games.
At home, the Reds are 32-38 this season compared to 32-34 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati is 33-33 this year and 31-39 as the underdog. The Reds have dropped two straight at home, and their overall series record is 16-23-3, including two straight series losses.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 71-65 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 41-25. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 44-26 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3.
When the Reds are at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 64-65 overall. When the line is set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 5-19-5. This season, 39 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 9 runs, which accounts for 28.7% of their games.
Fernando Cruz is getting the start for the Reds today and has made 62 appearances out of the bullpen this season. He has a record of 3-8 and an ERA of 5.17. Cruz’s WHIP for the season is 1.36. In his one start this year, he went three innings and gave up one earned run, coming away with a no-decision. Looking back at his last four outings, Cruz has finished with a no-decision in each one. Cruz has allowed at least one earned run in each of his last three outings. His ERA out of the bullpen is 5.75 compared to 6.67 on the road.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/39 in his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .266 with a team-high 22 homers and 61 RBIs. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, but both are hitting below .240 this season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Cincinnati comes into the game with a team batting average of .232, which is 19th in the league.