Michigan Wolverines vs Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24
FOX will be covering the week 14 matchup between the Michigan Wolverines and Ohio State Buckeyes, set to kick off at 12:00 ET at Ohio Stadium in Columbus. The over/under line is currently at 43.5 points. The Buckeyes are heavily favored at -20.5 points, as they come in with a 10-1 record, while Michigan is 6-5 on the season.
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES VS OHIO STATE BUCKEYES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Ohio State Buckeyes -20.5
This game will be played at Ohio Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 30th.
WHY BET THE OHIO STATE BUCKEYES:
- We have the Ohio State Buckeyes winning this one by a score of 34 to 9
- Not only do we have the Ohio State Buckeyes winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -20.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 43.5 points
Will The Michigan Wolverines Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Michigan enters Week 14 against Ohio State with a 6-5 record, but they are 0-3 on the road this season. At home, the Wolverines have gone 6-2. They’ve been favored in six games, going 5-1 in those matchups, but they’ve struggled as the underdog with a 1-4 record. Michigan is already bowl-eligible, but they have no chance of winning the Big Ten this year.
The Wolverines’ ATS record stands at 4-7, and they have an average scoring margin of +1.6 points per game. At home, they are 3-5 against the spread, while their road ATS record is 1-2. As the favorite, they’ve gone 2-4 ATS, and as the underdog, they are 2-3.
Michigan’s over/under record is 7-4, with their games averaging 44.5 points per contest. Their average over/under line has been 42.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 43.5 points.
Heading into week 14, Michigan’s offense ranks 82nd in our power rankings, averaging 23.1 points per game. Their passing game has struggled, with just 140.1 yards per game, placing them 124th nationally. Davis Warren, their leading passer, has thrown for 1,064 yards with six touchdowns and seven interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 74.
On the ground, Michigan averages 160.3 rushing yards per game. Kalel Mullings leads the team with 832 rushing yards, 11 touchdowns, and a 5-yard per carry average. Warren has completed 64.1% of his passes this season.
Michigan’s defense is coming off a dominant performance, allowing just six points and 128 total yards in their latest game. They gave up only 11 rushing yards on 24 attempts and 117 passing yards, while also forcing two interceptions.
For the season, Michigan ranks 7th nationally in rushing yards allowed, giving up just 94.6 yards per game. Opponents have averaged 222.3 passing yards per game and a 61.6% completion rate against Michigan’s defense.
Are The Ohio State Buckeyes Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Ohio State enters Week 14 against Michigan with a 10-1 record, ranked 2nd in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 64.7% chance of winning the Big Ten. The Buckeyes also have a 99.5% chance of making the playoff, with the highest odds in the nation to reach (36.6%) and win (21.7%) the national championship.
Ohio State is 7-0 at home and 3-1 on the road this season, with a +27.1 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in all 11 games, going 10-1 as the favorite. Their ATS record stands at 6-5, with a 4-3 mark at home and 2-2 on the road.
This week’s over/under line is 43.5 points, the lowest they’ve faced all season. The Buckeyes’ average O/U line is 51.1 points, and their games have averaged 48.5 points, with a 5-6 over/under record.
Ohio State’s offense is ranked 2nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14, and they are 10th in points per game, scoring 37.8. Will Howard has thrown for 2,685 yards and has a passer rating of 125. He has completed 74% of his passes, with 26 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Ohio State ranks 2nd nationally in passer rating and 4th in completion percentage.
They are 29th in passing yards per game, averaging 261.5 yards, and 36th in completions, with 20.3 per game. On third downs, they convert 43% of their attempts. Quinshon Judkins leads the rushing attack with 759 yards and 8 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jeremiah Smith has 899 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns on 52 catches.
Ohio State’s defense has been a standout unit this season, allowing just 10.7 points per game, the fewest in the nation. They’ve also limited opponents to 151.7 passing yards per game, ranking 9th, and 94.8 rushing yards per game, the 8th-lowest in the country.
In their recent game against Indiana, Ohio State’s defense gave up only 15 points and 153 total yards. They held Indiana to 85 rushing yards on 40 attempts and just 68 passing yards, while forcing 8 completions on 18 attempts.