Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/15/24
Washington is the heavy favorite heading into Sunday’s matchup with the Marlins, as their money line odds are sitting at -177 compared to the Marlins at +150. This game is being played at Nationals Park in Washington, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the upper 70s.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and first pitch is set for 1:35 PM ET. BSFL is carrying this game on TV, and Adam Oller is starting for the Marlins, while the Nationals are going with MacKenzie Gore. Miami is 55-94, and the Nationals have won two straight to move to 67-81.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline -177
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, September 15th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Washington picked up a 4-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were favored at -145 on the money line.
Patrick Corbin started for the Nationals and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Valente Bellozo got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Jose Tena and Joey Gallo each homered for the Nationals, while Juan Yepez went 1/3 with an RBI double. Keibert Ruiz also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is on the road today, and they are looking to pick up a win after dropping two straight games. Currently, the Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a record of 55-94, putting them 34.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are 17-31 against other teams in the NL East.
As the road underdog, the Marlins are 27-47 this season, and they are 4-14 when favored. Miami has struggled as the underdog overall, going 51-80. The Marlins’ overall series record is 11-26-9, and they are coming into today’s game with a mark of 3-7 in their last 10 games.
Miami is 69-80 on the run line this season, including a 32-43 mark at home. The Marlins are 37-37 on the run line on the road, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. Miami is 2-16 on the run line as the favorite this season, but 67-64 as the underdog.
When the Marlins play, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 28 of their 51 games at that number. Miami’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-65 overall. The Marlins are currently on a two-game under streak.
Adam Oller is on the mound for the Marlins today, and he is making his 3rd start of the season. He has a loss in each of his first 2 outings, but he did pick up a win in his first start of the season. Oller’s last outing was a 6-inning no-decision vs. the Giants, where he struck out 8 and only gave up 2 hits.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the majors. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.4 runs per game. Miami’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and OPS. On the bright side, they are batting a collective .241, which is 13th in the league.
Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as he leads the team with 25 homers and 61 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .244. Over his last five games, Burger has gone 6/21 with one run scored and one RBI. Otto Lopez also has one homer in his last five games while going 5/18.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is 67-81 overall and 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 22 games. They are 2-1 in this series vs. the Marlins and have an overall division record of 22-23. The Nationals have won two straight games, which came after dropping four in a row.
At home, the Nationals are 35-39 this season compared to a 32-42 mark on the road. As the favorite, Washington has gone 14-13 this year and 53-68 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 17-23-6.
Washington is 40-34 against the run line at home this season, and 83-65 overall. The Nationals are 13-14 against the run line as the favorite, and 70-51 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it’s -3.8 in losses. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 43-31 against the run line on the road.
The Washington Nationals are playing host to the Miami Marlins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Nationals’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 70-72. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 19-22. Overall, 39.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs this season, and 32.4% have had lower lines. The under has hit in the Nationals’ last two games.
Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 8-12 with an ERA of 4.34. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.52, and opponents are batting .264 off him this year. In his 29 appearances, Gore has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Gore took the loss vs. the Braves, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs, three walks, and a homer. Before that outing, he had gone six innings without giving up a homer.
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and isolated power. However, they have been a tough team to strike out and are batting a collective .244, which is 11th in the MLB. As a team, they are 13th in on-base percentage.
CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top power threats this season, with Abrams leading the team with 20 homers and Garcia Jr. right behind him with 16. Abrams has also gone deep twice in his last five games, while batting .263 in that stretch. Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a season-long batting average of .281.